Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions August 19th 2025

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The Seattle Mariners travel to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Mariners hold a record of 68-58 and sit second in the AL West. They are on a three-game losing streak and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The Phillies, with a record of 72-53, lead the NL East. They have won their last two games and are 6-4 over their last 10. The game is set for Tuesday, August 19, 2025, at 6:45 PM, with overcast skies expected.

Mariners vs Phillies Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
  • Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Mariners +149, Phillies -177

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently played against the Philadelphia Phillies and lost 12-7. Despite the loss, the Mariners showed power at the plate with two home runs. Mitch Garver and Cole Young each hit a home run, contributing to the team’s seven runs.

Seattle’s lineup has been hitting well this season, ranking third in home runs with 178. Cal Raleigh is a key player with 47 home runs, leading the league. His performance, along with Eugenio Suárez’s 38 home runs, gives the Mariners a strong chance to win.

The Mariners’ pitching can also be a factor. They rank seventh in quality starts with 51, showing they can keep games close. Bryce Miller will start the game, and while his ERA is 5.73, he has the potential to improve and help the team secure a win.

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies showed strong performance in their recent game against the Seattle Mariners. They won 12-7 with 21 hits and 4 home runs. Key players like Trea Turner and Bryce Harper had standout performances, with Turner driving in 5 runs and Harper hitting 2 home runs.

The Phillies have solid team stats that support their chances of winning. They rank 3rd in batting average at .255 and 5th in on-base percentage at .324. Their pitching is strong, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 7th, and they have the most quality starts in the league.

Philadelphia’s lineup is filled with players who can change the game. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 43 home runs and 103 RBIs. Cristopher Sánchez, the starting pitcher for the next game, has an ERA of 2.45 and 11 wins, giving the Phillies a good chance on the mound.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored to win with a moneyline of -177. They have a better batting average and on-base percentage compared to the Mariners. My model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, I recommend taking the Phillies on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs. The Phillies’ pitching has a lower ERA and has given up fewer home runs than the Mariners. My model predicts a total score of 8 runs. Given the pitching strengths, I recommend taking the under 8.0 runs.

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Phillies Fire on All Cylinders in Series Opener

The Philadelphia Phillies came out swinging Monday night, smashing the Seattle Mariners with a 12-7 win in the series opener. Fueled by a monster performance from Trea Turner, who went 4-for-5 with a home run and five RBIs, the Phillies looked every bit like the National League powerhouse they’ve been all season.

Bryce Harper added two long homers, and catcher J.T. Realmuto continued his tear with a three-hit outing, including a homer and a double. It was a 21-hit performance from Philadelphia — a statement from a team that had been shut out just two nights earlier.

Manager Rob Thomson credited the collective approach at the plate, saying, “Right now we’re having really good at-bats. It all depends on the next day’s pitcher.”

That pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, returning to the mound for the first time since early June.

Bryce Miller Returns After Long Injury Layoff

Seattle right-hander Bryce Miller (2-5, 5.73 ERA) makes his long-awaited return to MLB action on Tuesday. Elbow issues sidelined the 25-year-old since June 6, cutting short what had been a productive 2024 campaign — he was 12-8 with a 2.94 ERA before the injury bug hit.

Miller isn’t focused on stats anymore, telling reporters his goal now is just to compete and help Seattle push for the postseason. His lone previous appearance against the Phillies came last August when he allowed four runs in 4 1/3 innings.

Bryce Miller – Last 5 MLB Starts (Pre-Injury)

DateOpponentIPERHitsResult
May 12vs Astros6.014Win
May 18@ A’s5.236ND
May 24vs Angels7.003Win
May 30vs Yankees6.125Win
June 6@ Guardians4.147Loss

Seattle hopes Miller can rediscover that dominant form, but he’ll need to do it against a lineup currently firing on all cylinders.

Cristopher Sanchez Looks to Rebound for Philly

Philadelphia counters with Cristopher Sanchez (11-4, 2.45 ERA), who’s been one of the team’s most consistent starters all year. The left-hander suffered just his second loss since early June in his last outing, allowing four runs (three earned) over six innings against the Cincinnati Reds.

Sanchez has yet to face the Mariners in his career, but he’ll need to stay sharp — especially with Seattle catcher Cal Raleigh looming. Raleigh entered the series leading the American League with 47 home runs and 102 RBIs but went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts on Monday.

Cristopher Sanchez – Recent Performance

DateOpponentIPERKBBResult
Aug 7vs Braves7.0081Win
Aug 13@ Mets6.2150Win
Aug 20vs Reds6.0342Loss

Despite the loss, Sanchez continues to be a workhorse in the Phillies’ rotation, and he’ll look to keep Seattle’s bats quiet after a late-inning rally in Game 1.

Mariners’ Bats Show Late Life, But Fall Short

Seattle may have been overwhelmed early, but they didn’t go down quietly. Cole Young launched a three-run homer and drove in four runs, leading a push that saw the Mariners score seven runs in the final three innings. Manager Dan Wilson said he was encouraged by the fight shown late, but acknowledged they need a full nine-inning effort to beat a team like Philly.

Despite losing five of their last six games, the Mariners still sit within reach of the AL Wild Card — but time is running out.

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