Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions June 3rd 2025

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles June 3rd 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will visit the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday night. The game is set to start at 9:40 PM and will be broadcast on RSNW. The weather forecast indicates clear skies, but the retractable roof at the stadium means weather conditions may not impact play.

The Orioles, managed by Tony Mansolino, have a season record of 22-36. They have struggled on the road with a 10-19 record. Meanwhile, the Mariners, led by Dan Wilson, hold a 32-26 record and have been solid at home with a 16-14 record. The starting pitchers are Tomoyuki Sugano for the Orioles and George Kirby for the Mariners. Sugano has a 3.23 ERA, while Kirby has struggled with an 11.42 ERA.

Orioles vs Mariners Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
• Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
• Date: Tuesday, June 3, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mariners -161, Orioles +135

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a tight 3-2 win against the Chicago White Sox. In this game, Charlie Morton was strong on the mound, pitching 6 2/3 innings and allowing no earned runs. Ramón Urías and Jackson Holliday contributed key hits to secure the victory.

Looking at the season stats, the Orioles have hit 62 home runs, ranking them 11th in the league. Their batting lineup includes Jackson Holliday and Gunnar Henderson, who both have 7 home runs. This power at the plate gives them a solid chance to score runs in the upcoming game.

The Orioles have Tomoyuki Sugano starting on the mound, who has a solid ERA of 3.23. With George Kirby of the Mariners holding an ERA of 11.42, the Orioles have a favorable pitching matchup. Sugano’s ability to limit runs can be a key factor in securing another win for Baltimore.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently secured a 2-1 win against the Minnesota Twins. Luis Castillo was effective on the mound, pitching six innings without allowing a run. Cal Raleigh contributed with a home run, which was key to their victory.

The Mariners have shown strength in their batting lineup, ranking 5th in the league for home runs with 79. Their on-base percentage is 8th at .321, indicating they consistently get players on base. This ability to get on base and hit home runs gives them a solid chance to win.

Seattle’s pitching staff has recorded 23 quality starts, placing them 8th in the league. This shows they often keep games close, giving their hitters a chance to win. With George Kirby on the mound, they will look to improve on his previous outings and secure another win.

The Lean

The Mariners are the favorite with a MoneyLine of -161. The Orioles have a MoneyLine of +135. Given the Mariners’ better pitching stats, with a 3.86 ERA compared to the Orioles’ 5.29 ERA, the recommendation is to pick the Mariners to win. The model projects the Mariners to win 5-3.

The total for the game is set at 7.5. Both teams have shown moderate hitting capabilities, with the Mariners ranked 5th in home runs. Considering the Orioles’ higher ERA, the game could see more runs. The model projects a total score of 8, so the recommendation is to take the Over.

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Power-Hitting Cal Raleigh Set to Ignite Mariners Against Orioles

As chants of “M-V-P!” echoed through T-Mobile Park, Cal Raleigh stood locked in — not just as a fan favorite, but now as the major league home run leader with 23 long balls.

The switch-hitting catcher enters this week’s series against the Baltimore Orioles on a power surge: home runs in three straight games, and six in his last six. On pace for 64 homers, Raleigh is chasing history — the catcher home run record of 48 by Salvador Perez in 2021.

“He’s doing it all right now,” said manager Dan Wilson, himself a former catcher. “Hard contact, big homers, and rock-solid defense.”

Raleigh’s rise has even earned comparisons to Johnny Bench and Mike Piazza, but the 27-year-old remains focused. “That stuff is cool,” Raleigh said, “but right now I’m just trying to win games.”

His impact has helped keep Seattle atop the AL West nearly every day since late April, most recently sealing a series win over the Twins with a tight 2-1 victory.

Orioles Count on Sugano to Slow Down Seattle’s Momentum

The Orioles might be in last place in the AL East, but they’ve shown life recently — winning six of their last eight, including a weekend sweep of the White Sox. The starting rotation has been a bright spot with a combined 2.09 ERA over that stretch.

Rookie Tomoyuki Sugano (4-3, 3.23 ERA) gets the call Tuesday night, making his first career start against the Mariners.

Adley Rutschman, once pegged as the top AL catcher, has seen a dip in production (.203 AVG, 5 HR), but the return of Colton Cowser from the IL brings some needed power. Cowser, who hit 24 homers as a rookie, is back after missing time with a fractured thumb.

Seattle will start George Kirby (0-2, 11.42 ERA), who is still building back from an early-season IL stint. His career numbers vs. Baltimore (1-4, 3.82 ERA) suggest this could be a turning point.

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