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Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox June 16th 2025
The Boston Red Sox will visit the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Monday, June 16, 2025. The game is set to start at 9:40 PM and will be broadcast on NESN. The weather forecast indicates overcast clouds with a mild breeze, but the retractable roof at the stadium may keep conditions stable for the players.
Boston enters the game with a 37-36 record, sitting 6 games back in the AL East. They have found more success at home than on the road, with a 15-19 road record. Seattle holds a 36-34 record and is 4 games back in the AL West. Their home record stands at 19-17. Lucas Giolito will start for Boston, while Logan Gilbert takes the mound for Seattle.
Red Sox vs Mariners Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
- Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners -186, Red Sox +156
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox recently secured a 2-0 win against the New York Yankees. Brayan Bello pitched seven strong innings, allowing just three hits and striking out eight batters. Rafael Devers contributed with a solo home run, while Romy Gonzalez added a triple, showcasing their ability to make key plays.
The Red Sox are strong in hitting with a team batting average of .253, ranking 6th in the league. They lead the league in doubles with 141, which shows their knack for getting into scoring position. Their on-base percentage of .326 ranks 5th, indicating their ability to get runners on base and create scoring opportunities.
Lucas Giolito will start for the Red Sox with a season record of 2-1. Although his ERA is 5.45, he has shown he can keep runs off the board, as seen in his previous start against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Red Sox’s bullpen has been reliable, with only 14 blown saves, ranking 9th, which can be crucial in close games.
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners are coming off a strong performance against the Cleveland Guardians, winning 6-0. Emerson Hancock was dominant, pitching seven innings and allowing only two hits. J.P. Crawford led the offense with a home run and four RBIs, showing his value at the plate.
Seattle’s pitching has been a strength, with Logan Gilbert set to start. Gilbert’s ERA of 2.37 and WHIP of 0.79 highlight his ability to control games. The Mariners rank 10th in quality starts, which shows their starting rotation’s consistency.
Offensively, the Mariners have power in their lineup. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 26 home runs, ranking first in the league. The Mariners are also ranked 7th in home runs this season, making them a threat to score quickly.
The Lean
The Mariners are the favorite with a MoneyLine of -186, while the Red Sox are the underdog at +156. Given the Mariners’ stronger batting average and on-base percentage, they are likely to win. My model projects a score of Mariners 5, Red Sox 3, supporting a pick for the Mariners to win straight up.
The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Both teams have similar pitching stats, with ERAs around 3.96. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. This suggests taking the over, as the combined score is expected to surpass the current line.
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New-Look Red Sox Take Hot Streak to Seattle After Devers Trade
The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball, but they will begin a new era on Monday night. Fresh off trading their disgruntled superstar Rafael Devers, the Red Sox will take their five-game winning streak to the west coast to open a three-game series against the also-surging Seattle Mariners.
The End of an Era in Boston
In a stunning move following their sweep of the Yankees, the Red Sox traded Devers to the San Francisco Giants. The trade came after a season of public discontent from Devers, who was unhappy about being moved to designated hitter and being asked to play first base.
“I know I’m a ballplayer, but at the same time, they can’t expect me to play every single position out there,” Devers said, according to the Boston Globe, expressing his frustration with the front office. This kind of blockbuster trade and its fallout is a major topic in our expert betting guide.
Can Boston Stay Hot?
Despite the drama, the Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games, relying on strong fundamentals. Their recent success has been built on the mound and in the field.
“I think it starts on the mound,” manager Alex Cora said. “You pitch (well), you’re throwing strikes, the defense is going to be better… Pitching and defense are the pillars of baseball.”
Seattle’s Surge and Gilbert’s Return
The Mariners are also feeling confident, coming into this series fresh off a three-game sweep of Cleveland. Shortstop J.P. Crawford has been leading the offense, hitting .434 over his last 14 games.
Seattle will also get a massive boost on the mound as their opening-day starter, Logan Gilbert (1-1, 2.37), makes his return from the injured list. Gilbert has been out since April 25, and his return to the rotation is huge news. The matchup between Boston’s Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.45 ERA) and a returning Gilbert will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
As these two hot MLB teams clash, the big question is how Boston will respond after trading away their biggest star. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.
