Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals July 1st 2025
The Kansas City Royals take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. This night game is set for Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at 9:40 PM. Fans can catch the action on RSNW.
The Royals come into the game with a 39-45 record. They are 13 games behind in the AL Central. The Mariners have a 43-40 record and are 6 games behind in the AL West. Starting pitchers are Michael Lorenzen for the Royals and Emerson Hancock for the Mariners.
Royals vs Mariners Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
- Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
- Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners -135, Royals +114
The Royals Can Win If…
The Kansas City Royals recently faced the Seattle Mariners and lost 2-6. Bobby Witt Jr. had a notable performance with 2 RBIs. Despite the loss, the Royals have shown they can bounce back, as seen in their previous win against the Dodgers, where they scored 9 runs.
The Royals have a strong batting average of .245, ranking them 11th in the league. Their ability to hit doubles is impressive, ranking 7th with 141 doubles. With a solid pitching staff, their earned run average is 3.46, placing them 3rd, which can be a key factor in securing a win.
Michael Lorenzen will start on the mound for the Royals, bringing experience with a 4.91 ERA. The lineup features consistent hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia, who can drive in runs. The Royals’ ability to strike out opponents, ranking 2nd in strikeouts, could play a crucial role in their success.
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners are coming off a 6-2 win against the Kansas City Royals. In that game, George Kirby pitched six innings, allowing just one run. Randy Arozarena was a standout, hitting two home runs and driving in four runs.
The Mariners have shown strong hitting stats this season. They rank 6th in home runs with 107 and 7th in on-base percentage at .322. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 32 home runs, ranking first in the league.
Looking ahead, Emerson Hancock will start for the Mariners. While his ERA is 5.30, the team has provided solid run support in recent games. With their strong lineup, the Mariners have the potential to secure another win.
The Lean
The Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -135 against the Royals at +114. The Mariners have a stronger hitting lineup, ranking higher in batting average and slugging percentage. My model projects the Mariners to win the game with a score of 5-4. I recommend taking the Mariners to win straight up.
The current over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Royals have a higher ERA of 3.92 compared to the Mariners’ 3.46, indicating potential for more runs. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. I recommend betting on the over for this game.
Arozarena’s Milestone Homers Power Mariners Past Royals
The wait for career home run number 100 was a long one for Randy Arozarena, but number 101 came in a hurry. The Seattle Mariners slugger had a milestone night on Monday, and he’ll look to stay hot as his team continues its four-game series against the visiting and slumping Kansas City Royals on Tuesday.
A Milestone Night
After waiting nearly three weeks to hit his 100th career homer, Arozarena didn’t waste any time getting his next one. He hit a solo shot in the fourth inning on Monday for the milestone, then followed it up with a three-run blast in the fifth to lead the Mariners to a 6-2 victory.
“No. 100 I was looking for for a long time,” Arozarena said through a translator. “But my 101st was really quick.”
“He’s really swung the bat well,” said Mariners manager Scott Servais. “Congrats to him, that’s a big milestone.”
KC’s Offensive Woes Continue
While the Mariners’ bats are hot, the Royals’ offense is ice-cold. They have lost eight of their last nine games, and in those eight losses, they have scored a total of just 11 runs. They managed only two runs on Monday, both driven in by their star shortstop, Bobby Witt Jr. The team’s inability to generate offense has been their downfall, a topic often explored in our expert betting guide.

A Duel of Pitchers Needing a Win
Tuesday’s pitching matchup features two right-handers who are both looking to get back in the win column. The Mariners will start Emerson Hancock (3-4, 5.30 ERA), who has lost his last two starts and was hit hard by the Royals in his only career appearance against them.
The Royals will counter with veteran Michael Lorenzen (4-8, 4.91 ERA), who has just one win in his last 10 starts. This matchup between two struggling arms will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Power Up
The Mariners continue to be led by the best power hitter in the game right now, catcher Cal Raleigh, who hit his major-league-leading 33rd home run on Monday. For two MLB teams heading in opposite directions, Seattle’s power advantage is clear. To see if our experts think the Mariners will stay hot, check out our daily MLB picks.