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Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins May 30th 2025
The Twins visit the Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Friday, May 30, 2025. The game is set to begin at 10:10 PM. This is a night game, adding to the atmosphere under the lights.
Zebby Matthews will start for the Twins. He has an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.00. Bryan Woo takes the mound for the Mariners with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.93. Both teams will look to their pitchers to set the tone early.
Twins vs Mariners Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Twins vs. Mariners
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
- Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
- Betting Odds: Twins +1.5 (-171), Mariners -1.5 (+143), Twins MoneyLine +133, Mariners MoneyLine -159, Over/Under 7.0
The Twins Can Win If…
The Minnesota Twins are looking to bounce back after a tough 5-0 loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. In that game, Pablo López pitched five innings, allowing four runs. Despite the loss, the Twins have shown they can win, evidenced by their recent 4-2 victory over the Rays, where Joe Ryan had a solid start and Carlos Correa contributed with three hits.
The Twins have a strong pitching staff with a team ERA of 3.29, ranking seventh in the league. Their pitching has been effective, allowing a batting average against of .236. This solid pitching foundation gives them a good chance to control the game against the Seattle Mariners.
Offensively, Ty France has been a key player for the Twins with a .254 batting average and 30 RBIs. Kody Clemens has also been productive, hitting five home runs. With these hitters leading the way, the Twins have the potential to put runs on the board and secure a win.
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners are looking to bounce back after a tough 9-0 loss to the Washington Nationals. Despite the setback, Miles Mastrobuoni showed promise by going 2-for-2, and Ben Williamson added a hit. The Mariners are ready to put that game behind them and focus on their strengths.
Seattle’s lineup has power, ranking 5th in the league with 73 home runs this season. Their ability to draw walks is also a key factor, as they rank 4th with 210 walks. With Cal Raleigh leading the charge, hitting 19 home runs, the Mariners have the potential to score big.
On the mound, Bryan Woo has been effective, with a strong ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.93. This gives the Mariners a solid chance to limit the Twins’ offense. Facing Zebby Matthews, who has an ERA of 7.71, Seattle’s hitters have an opportunity to capitalize and secure a win.
The Lean
The Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -159, while the Twins are at +133. The Mariners have a stronger on-base percentage and more home runs, which could give them an edge. My model projects the Mariners to win with a score of 5-3. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Mariners to win straight up.
The current total is set at 7.0, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. Considering both teams’ pitching and hitting stats, my model projects a total score of 8. The Mariners’ higher slugging percentage and the Twins’ solid pitching suggest a close game, but the recommendation is to take the over.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Power Surge: 1 Unsung Twin Boosting Minnesota’s May
Carlos Correa knows talent—he’s played alongside MVPs. So when he says someone’s the most valuable player in the Twins’ clubhouse, people listen. His choice? Not a headline-grabbing slugger or ace pitcher, but Kody Clemens.
“He’s our MVP,” Correa said. “All he’s done is hit—and hit with power.”
Since being acquired from the Phillies for cash on April 26, Clemens has been electric. He’s batting .304 with five homers and 12 RBIs in just 22 games, rocking a 1.087 OPS. And with him in the lineup, Minnesota has gone 18-9—including a 13-game winning streak. That’s no coincidence.
Check out Minnesota’s momentum on the MLB Pick Page.
From Depth Piece to Spark Plug
Clemens’ impact isn’t just with the bat. On Tuesday, with his father—legendary pitcher Roger Clemens—watching from the stands, Kody launched a home run and made a diving catch in right field. A position he’d only played a few times.
He’s filled in at first, second, and all three outfield spots. With injuries piling up—Byron Buxton, Harrison Bader, and Matt Wallner all out—Clemens has become essential. And manager Rocco Baldelli knows it: “He’s won games for us.”
Want to see how this affects the roster? Visit the MLB Team Page.
Mariners Cooling Off Fast
While the Twins are surging, Seattle is slipping. They’ve lost five of their last seven games, and their AL West lead over Houston is down to just half a game. It’s a familiar story—last season, they blew a 10-game lead by July.
Thursday’s extra-inning loss to the Nationals stung. Seven runs allowed in the 10th turned a close game into a blowout. A 9-0 loss the day before didn’t help either.
Need up-to-date lines on the Mariners’ rollercoaster? Visit the MLB Odds Page.
Can the Twins Keep It Rolling?
Friday’s opener in Seattle features righties Zebby Matthews (0-1, 7.71 ERA) for Minnesota and Bryan Woo (5-2, 2.69 ERA) for Seattle. Woo’s been hot—1.71 ERA in May—but the Twins rocked him last year for seven runs.
If Clemens keeps swinging, Minnesota might just keep climbing the AL Central standings. Curious about long-term trends and betting tips? Check out the Expert MLB Betting Guide.
