Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions May 31st 2025

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The Twins will take on the Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Saturday, May 31, 2025. This night game is set to start at 7:15 PM. Fans can expect an exciting matchup as both teams aim for a win.

Bailey Ober will be the starting pitcher for the Twins. He has an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.33. On the other side, Bryce Miller will start for the Mariners with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.54. Both pitchers will look to lead their teams to victory.

Twins vs Mariners Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Twins vs. Mariners
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park
  • Date: Saturday, May 31, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Twins Spread -1.5 (+160), Mariners Spread +1.5 (-200), Twins MoneyLine -109, Mariners MoneyLine -110, Over 7.0 (-123), Under 7.0 (+101)

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a tough 5-0 loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the loss, the Twins showed grit with six hits, including contributions from Trevor Larnach and Ty France. Pablo López pitched five innings, allowing four runs, but he will look to bounce back in future games.

One reason the Twins can win is their strong pitching staff. They have a team ERA of 3.29, ranking 7th in the league. Bailey Ober, with an ERA of 3.41, will start against the Mariners, who have Bryce Miller on the mound with a higher ERA of 5.22.

Key players like Ty France and Carlos Correa are critical to the Twins’ success. France leads the team with 30 RBIs, while Correa has contributed four home runs. The Twins’ lineup, including Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach, has the potential to capitalize on the Mariners’ pitching struggles.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners aim to bounce back after a 9-3 loss to the Washington Nationals. Emerson Hancock had a solid outing, allowing only two runs over 5 1/3 innings. Leody Taveras was a bright spot, going 3-for-4 with a run and an RBI.

Despite recent losses, the Mariners have strengths that can lead to a win. They rank 6th in home runs with 73, showing their power potential. Their on-base percentage is 9th in the league, which helps create scoring opportunities.

Cal Raleigh is a key player to watch, leading the league with 19 home runs and 37 RBIs. His performance can be a game-changer for the Mariners. With Bryce Miller on the mound, the Mariners will look to capitalize on their offensive strengths to secure a win against the Minnesota Twins.

The Lean

The Mariners are slightly favored with a MoneyLine of -110, while the Twins are at -109. The Mariners have a stronger on-base percentage and more home runs, which could give them an edge. My model projects the Mariners to win 4-3, making the Mariners MoneyLine a good pick.

The current over/under line is set at 7.0. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Twins having a 3.29 ERA and the Mariners at 3.83. My model projects a total score of 7, so taking the under at +101 might be a good option, considering the strong pitching on both sides.

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Ty France Leads Twins to Comeback Win in Seattle

Ty France made a memorable return to Seattle, sparking a late rally to help the Minnesota Twins claim a 12-6 extra-inning victory over the Mariners on Friday night. It marked another statement win for a Twins squad building momentum, while Seattle suffered its second straight extra-inning collapse.

France’s Homecoming Fuels Key Rally

France, who played parts of five seasons with the Mariners and made the All-Star team in 2022, signed with the Twins in the offseason. In his first game back at T-Mobile Park, France led off the ninth inning with a key single off Mariners closer Andrés Muñoz. That hit set off a three-run rally that tied the game before Minnesota erupted for six more in the 10th.

After the first inning, France received a video tribute from the Mariners, acknowledging his contributions during his tenure in Seattle. He expressed gratitude for his time with the organization and shared how it felt to be back on familiar turf, this time as a visitor.

Before the game, he caught up with former teammates, including catcher Cal Raleigh. Mariners manager Dan Wilson noted France’s lasting relationships in the clubhouse, calling it “a homecoming of sorts.”

Castro, Correa, and Larnach Power Twins’ Offense

Willi Castro delivered two home runs, including a game-tying shot with two outs in the ninth. Carlos Correa added a key homer in the 10th that kicked off the Twins’ six-run surge. Trevor Larnach also went deep as Minnesota’s offense came alive late.

Seattle’s Cal Raleigh did his best to keep the Mariners in the game, belting two home runs and making history as the first catcher to hit 20 homers before the end of May. However, the effort was spoiled by the bullpen collapse.

Muñoz gave up his first earned runs of the season, blowing the save with two outs in the ninth. It was Seattle’s second consecutive meltdown in extras, following a 9-3 loss in 10 innings against Washington the night before.

Game Preview: Twins vs Mariners Continues

Saturday’s matchup will feature a pair of right-handers as Bailey Ober (4-1, 3.41 ERA) takes the mound for Minnesota against Bryce Miller (2-4, 5.22 ERA), who returns from a stint on the injured list due to elbow inflammation.

Ober enters on a streak of four no-decisions despite allowing just six runs in that span. He is 2-0 with a 3.46 ERA in five career starts against Seattle. Miller, meanwhile, has struggled in his limited action against the Twins, going 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts.

For more coverage of upcoming games, visit our full list of MLB previews.

Betting Perspective: Late-Inning Woes Impact Seattle Odds

The Mariners’ recent bullpen collapses could sway betting trends in favor of Minnesota, especially given the Twins’ explosive late-game performances. Ty France’s return has energized Minnesota’s clubhouse, while the Mariners look for answers in their relief corps.

For expert betting advice and insights, check out the MLB expert betting guide. To see what the pros are picking, explore today’s MLB picks and get an edge heading into the weekend.

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By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
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