Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions July 5th 2025

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates July 5th 2025

Pirates vs Mariners Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners
• Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Pirates Moneyline +155, Mariners Moneyline -184

The Pirates Can Win If…

The Pittsburgh Pirates are looking to bounce back after their recent 0-6 loss to the Seattle Mariners. In that game, Nick Gonzales was a standout, going 3-for-4 with a double. Despite the loss, Bailey Falter showed some strength on the mound, striking out four over 5 2/3 innings.

The Pirates have shown they can win with strong pitching, as seen in their 5-0 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals on July 2nd. Mitch Keller was key in that game, pitching seven scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. With a team ERA of 3.67, ranked 7th in the league, their pitching staff can keep them in any game.

Offensively, the Pirates have power hitters like Oneil Cruz, who has 15 home runs this season. They also have speed on the bases, ranking 7th in stolen bases with 77. With a balanced lineup and Mike Burrows starting on the mound, they have the tools to come out on top against the Mariners.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently delivered a strong performance against the Pittsburgh Pirates, winning 6-0. Bryan Woo led the way on the mound, pitching six innings and allowing just three hits with eight strikeouts. Cal Raleigh was the standout hitter, going 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBIs.

The Mariners have a solid batting lineup that ranks 6th in home runs with 118 this season. Their on-base percentage is 7th in the league at .321. Cal Raleigh is a key player, leading the league with 35 home runs and 74 RBIs.

On the pitching side, Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners with a 3.55 ERA. The team ranks 8th in quality starts, showing consistency on the mound. The Mariners’ ability to strike out opponents, with 723 strikeouts this season, will be crucial against the Pirates.

The Lean

The Mariners are favored on the moneyline at -184, and they have a strong hitting lineup with a .248 batting average, ranking 8th. Their pitching is also solid, with an earned run average of 3.67, ranking 7th. My model projects the Mariners to win with a score of 5-3, making them the recommended pick for this game.

The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Pirates have a lower batting average and slugging percentage, which suggests fewer runs. With both teams having decent pitching, the game is likely to stay under the total. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs, but given the strong pitching, the under 7.5 (-110) is the better pick.

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Cal Raleigh Ties Griffey Jr.’s Landmark Pace

Cal Raleigh delivered two homers in Seattle’s 6-0 win over Pittsburgh, matching Ken Griffey Jr.’s franchise record of 35 home runs before the All-Star break. Manager Dan Wilson drew parallels to his former teammate’s consistency, noting Raleigh’s steady output of roughly 10 homers per month and praising his non-stop power surge. For a comprehensive MLB expert betting guide, visit Scores & Stats Expert MLB Betting Guide.

Power Surge Fuels Mariners’ Offense

Raleigh nearly sent a two-run blast completely out of T-Mobile Park in the first inning, launching a 433-foot shot at 115.2 mph—the hardest-hit ball of his career. Teammate Randy Arozarena continued his torrid stretch with his fifth homer in as many games, and Dylan Moore snapped a 1-for-38 slump with a solo shot. For the latest MLB previews and in-depth analysis, explore Scores & Stats MLB Previews.

Pitching Matchup Spotlight

Bryan Woo dominated with six scoreless innings, allowing only three hits, all to Nick Gonzales. Woo’s performance (8–4, 2.77 ERA) bolsters his All-Star candidacy alongside Raleigh. Saturday’s duel pits Pittsburgh’s Mike Burrows (1–2, 4.15 ERA) against Seattle’s Luis Castillo (4–5, 3.55 ERA), who boasts a 2.60 ERA in 15 career starts versus the Pirates. Don’t miss our latest MLB picks and predictions at Scores & Stats MLB Picks.

Series Outlook

The Pirates struggled with runners in scoring position (0-for-7), snapping a six-game winning streak that included three straight shutouts. Seattle looks to ride its momentum and record-breaking power display into Saturday’s contest. To secure expert selections for your wagers, head to Buy MLB Picks.

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