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Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates July 6th 2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA. The game is set for Sunday, July 6, 2025, at 4:10 PM. Fans can watch the game on RSNW.
The Pirates, managed by Don Kelly, have a season record of 38-51. They are 15 games back in the NL Central. The Mariners, led by Dan Wilson, hold a 46-42 record and are 7 games back in the AL West. The starting pitchers are Paul Skenes for the Pirates and George Kirby for the Mariners.
Pirates vs Mariners Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners
- Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
- Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
- Betting Odds: Pirates Moneyline -112, Mariners Moneyline -106
The Pirates Can Win If…
The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a tough 0-6 loss to the Seattle Mariners. In that game, Nick Gonzales shined with three hits, including a double. Despite the loss, the Pirates’ lineup has shown they can deliver in recent games, like their 5-0 win against the St. Louis Cardinals where Mitch Keller pitched seven scoreless innings.
Key stats highlight the Pirates’ potential to win. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67, ranking 7th in the league. With Paul Skenes starting, who has an impressive ERA of 2.03, the Pirates have a strong chance of keeping the Mariners’ bats quiet.
The Pirates’ lineup features Andrew McCutchen, who leads the team with 8 home runs. Nick Gonzales is another player to watch with a .308 batting average. With players like these, the Pirates have the tools to score runs and secure a win against the Mariners.
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners are coming off a strong 6-0 win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Bryan Woo delivered an impressive performance, pitching six innings with eight strikeouts and no runs allowed. Cal Raleigh was a standout at the plate, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs.
Seattle’s ability to hit home runs is a key factor in their success. They rank sixth in the league with 118 home runs this season. Their lineup features power hitters like Cal Raleigh, who leads the league with 35 home runs, making them a threat to any pitching staff.
The Mariners’ pitching staff also plays a crucial role in their victories. They are ranked ninth in quality starts with 34 this season. With George Kirby on the mound, they have a reliable starter who can keep the game close and give their offense a chance to win.
The Lean
The Pirates are slightly favored on the moneyline at -112, while the Mariners are at -106. The Pirates have a better pitching rank with a 3.67 ERA, which is 7th in the league. My model projects the Pirates to win with a score of 4-3, making them the pick to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 6.5 runs. The Mariners have a decent slugging percentage, ranked 11th, and the Pirates’ pitching is strong. My model projects a total score of 7 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over at 6.5 (-120).
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An Ace Showdown: Kirby, Mariners Host Skenes and the Pirates
It is the kind of pitching matchup that baseball fans dream of. Two of the best young right-handers in the game will go head-to-head on Sunday afternoon as George Kirby and the Seattle Mariners host Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates in a must-see series finale.
“I Don’t Care Who Throws With Me”
Mariners ace George Kirby (2-4, 4.85 ERA) is rounding into top form after missing the start of the season, and he is not intimidated by the hype surrounding his opponent. He knows his upcoming schedule is brutal—facing Skenes on Sunday and likely AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal next weekend—but his focus remains internal.
“I don’t care who throws with me,” Kirby said bluntly. “I can’t control that stuff, so I am just going to go out, limit the runs, and give six or seven innings and do my thing.”
The Skenes Show
The hype around Pirates ace Paul Skenes (4-7, 2.03 ERA) is entirely justified. The reigning NL Rookie of the Year leads the majors with a 2.03 ERA and is a lock to make his second consecutive All-Star team. He is a strong candidate to be the starting pitcher for the National League.
“My goal is that I want to throw in the All-Star Game,” Skenes said. “I have a pretty good feeling that I’ll be there. If I’m going, I want to throw in it.”
A Clash of Streaks
This duel is set against a backdrop of conflicting team momentums. The Pirates entered this series on a six-game winning streak but have been completely shut down by the Mariners’ pitching, getting blanked in the first two games. The challenge of a hot offense facing elite pitching is a key topic in our expert betting guide. This premier pitching matchup will be the top story on the scores and odds board.
For two MLB teams looking to win a key series, the game will come down to which ace blinks first. To see who our experts are backing in this fantastic showdown, check out our daily MLB picks.
