Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions August 10th 2025

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The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The game is scheduled for Sunday, August 10, 2025, at 4:10 PM. The Rays come into this game with a record of 57-60, while the Mariners hold a 64-53 record. The Rays are ranked 4th in the AL East, and the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.

The Rays have been struggling, losing 7 of their last 10 games. In contrast, the Mariners have won 7 of their last 10, including a 5-game winning streak. Adrian Houser will start for the Rays, carrying an ERA of 2.54. Bryan Woo will pitch for the Mariners with an ERA of 3.02. The weather is expected to be clear with a light breeze.

Rays vs Mariners Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
  • Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Rays Moneyline +158, Mariners Moneyline -189, Rays Runline +1.5 (-141), Mariners Runline -1.5 (+118), Total Over 7.5 (-101), Total Under 7.5 (-119)

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays recently played against the Seattle Mariners and lost 3-2. Despite the loss, Drew Rasmussen had a strong performance on the mound, pitching six innings and allowing no runs. Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe each hit home runs, showing their power at the plate.

The Rays have a solid chance to win with their strong batting lineup. They rank first in stolen bases with 149, which can create scoring opportunities. Their batting average of .251 ranks seventh, showing they can consistently get on base.

Adrian Houser will start for the Rays, bringing an ERA of 2.54. His ability to keep the Mariners’ hitters in check will be key. The Rays’ defense will also look to support him and turn batted balls into outs efficiently.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners recently won against the Tampa Bay Rays with a score of 3-2. Luis Castillo pitched a strong game, going seven innings with five strikeouts. Cal Raleigh’s three-run homer was key in securing the win.

The Mariners have a solid chance to win due to their strong home run numbers. They rank 4th in the league with 166 home runs this season. Their pitching staff also contributes with a 3.81 ERA, placing them 11th in the league.

Key players like Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez are crucial for the Mariners’ success. Raleigh leads the league with 43 home runs, while Suárez has 37. With Bryan Woo on the mound, the Mariners have a reliable starter with a 3.02 ERA and a WHIP of 0.94.

The Lean

The Mariners are favored on the moneyline at -189. The Rays are at +158. My model projects the Mariners to win with a score of 5-3. The Mariners have a slightly better pitching staff, ranking 11th in ERA compared to the Rays’ 13th. This gives them an edge in this game.

The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Both teams have decent hitting, with the Mariners ranking 4th in home runs. This suggests the game could go over the total of 7.5 runs.

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Inspired by an Icon: Mariners Ride Ichiro’s Words into Sweep Attempt of Rays

It was a night of goosebumps, a celebration of a living legend that provided a jolt of inspiration and a clear sense of purpose for the current generation of Seattle Mariners. On a night when the franchise retired the iconic No. 51 of future Hall of Famer Ichiro Suzuki, the current-day Seattle Mariners put on a show for their hero. Powered by that emotion and a pair of home runs from their own superstar, Julio Rodriguez, the Mariners will look to complete a three-game series sweep of the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday afternoon.

An Icon’s Inspiration: The Ichiro Effect

Before Saturday’s game, in front of a sold-out and adoring home crowd, Ichiro Suzuki delivered a powerful and poignant speech. But his most impactful words were not for the fans, but for the players in the home dugout. He spoke to them directly, a legend passing down his wisdom to the team that now carries the city’s hopes.

“This year’s team has a great opportunity,” Ichiro said. “You guys are strong and talented. Please do not take your talent for granted… I understand there is pressure to win, but the thing about winning is it is always tough and never comes without pressure. Accept the pressure and figure out how you can perform at your best under pressure… I am confident you can seize the moment.”

The players were listening. Julio Rodriguez, the team’s 24-year-old superstar, went out and hit two home runs. Cal Raleigh, the major league’s home run leader, hit his 44th of the season. “It was perfect. Definitely before the game in my head I was like, ‘We got to get this (win) for Ichi,'” Rodriguez said. “It was a very special night. We definitely got to go out with a bang… the energy in the beginning of the game was unmatched.”

The table below provides a snapshot of two teams that are both in the thick of the AL Wild Card race. To review the full box score from their last matchup, you can check the official MLB game results.

TeamRecordWild Card StandingRecent Form (Last 10)
Seattle Mariners73-53WC #1 (+1.5)8-2
Tampa Bay Rays68-594.5 GB3-7

A Team That Can “Beat You in Many Different Ways”

The Mariners are now on a six-game winning streak and are 8-1 on their current homestand, a run that has pulled them to within a half-game of first place in the AL West. Their success has been a total team effort, with different players stepping up every night. On Saturday, they got a boost from the return of first baseman Ty France, who had two doubles after missing a game with shoulder discomfort. “It just shows the quality of our team, that we can beat you in many different ways and we have the means to just get it done,” Rodriguez said.

The challenge for a team coming off such an emotional night is to maintain its focus, a key topic for any bettor and one often explored in our expert betting guide.

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Sunday’s game features a fantastic pitching matchup. The Mariners will send out their own rising star, Bryan Woo, who has been dominant recently. The Rays will counter with their new trade-deadline acquisition, Adrian Houser, who struggled in his team debut.

PitcherW-L (2025)ERA (2025)Last 3 Starts ERA
Bryan Woo (SEA)9-63.021.89
Adrian Houser (TBR)6-32.543.50

The scores and odds for this matchup will heavily favor the home team. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this showdown, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.