Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions May 29th 2025

Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals MLB Thu, May 29, 20:40 pm.
Seattle Mariners
ML: -110
0
0
Washington Nationals
ML: -110
Last Updated on

The Nationals will take on the Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Thursday, May 29, 2025. The game is set to start at 9:40 PM as part of the night schedule. Fans can expect an exciting game as the Nationals visit the Mariners.

MacKenzie Gore is set to pitch for the Nationals. He has an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.25. Emerson Hancock will start for the Mariners with an ERA of 5.95 and a WHIP of 1.65. Both teams are ready to put on a show under the lights.

Nationals vs Mariners Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Nationals vs. Mariners
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park
  • Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025
  • Nationals Spread: -1.5 (+159)
  • Mariners Spread: +1.5 (-198)
  • Nationals MoneyLine: -107
  • Mariners MoneyLine: -112
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • Favorite: Mariners
  • Underdog: Nationals

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals recently played a close game against the San Francisco Giants, losing 3-2. Michael Soroka pitched six innings, allowing three runs and striking out two. CJ Abrams and James Wood each contributed with doubles, showcasing their ability to get on base and drive in runs.

The Nationals have strong hitting stats that can help them win. They rank 6th in stolen bases with 52, which can create scoring opportunities. Their lineup features CJ Abrams, who has a batting average of .287 and leads the team with 8 home runs.

MacKenzie Gore is set to start for the Nationals, with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has shown his ability to control games, evident from his 9 strikeouts in a recent outing against the Giants. Facing the Mariners’ Emerson Hancock, who has a higher ERA of 5.95, Gore’s performance could be a deciding factor in the game.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners are looking to bounce back after a recent 5-3 loss to the Houston Astros. Julio Rodríguez had a strong performance, going 3-for-5 and scoring two runs. Mitch Garver added two RBIs, showing potential for clutch hitting in future games.

The Mariners’ hitting stats indicate they have power at the plate. They rank 5th in home runs with 73 and 8th in on-base percentage at .327. These stats suggest they can create scoring opportunities and capitalize on them.

Emerson Hancock will start for the Mariners, aiming to improve his ERA of 5.95. In their recent win against the Astros, the Mariners showcased their ability to hit for power with three home runs. This power, combined with a solid bullpen, gives them a chance to secure a win against the Nationals.

The Lean

The Mariners are slightly favored with a moneyline of -112, while the Nationals are at -107. My model projects the Mariners to win with a score of 5-4. The Mariners have a stronger pitching staff with a 3.64 ERA compared to the Nationals’ 5.14 ERA, which supports picking the Mariners to win straight up.

The over/under is set at 7.5, with odds of -110 for the over and -111 for the under. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have similar batting averages, but the Mariners have a higher slugging percentage and more home runs. This suggests taking the over for this game.

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Future Odds Shifting?

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James Wood Power Surge: Nationals Seek Sweep vs Mariners

James Wood isn’t just a promising rookie anymore — he’s a full-on problem for opposing pitchers. In his first real taste of the big leagues, he’s already making fans and analysts drop their jaws.

After launching a 448-foot home run Tuesday and following it up with a 435-footer off the Hit It Here Cafe in right field on Wednesday, it’s clear Wood’s bat is sending a message — and baseballs — into orbit.

How rare is this kind of pop? His 113.3 mph exit velocity on Wednesday’s homer marked his fifth dinger over 112 mph this season. That ties him with Kyle Schwarber (2021) for the most such blasts in a season by any Nationals hitter since Statcast started tracking in 2015.

And this dude is still technically a rookie.

Want more young sluggers to watch? Dive into the MLB team pages for prospects lighting up the majors.

A Young Star Breaking Out at the Right Time

One thing’s for sure — James Wood isn’t just getting lucky. His approach at the plate is mature beyond his years. He’s punishing mistakes but staying selective, and the results speak for themselves.

“He’s incredible,” Nationals DH Josh Bell said. “It doesn’t matter the park, the pitch — he’s locked in. If you leave it out over the plate, forget it.”

Even in T-Mobile Park, notorious for suppressing home runs due to Seattle’s marine layer, Wood is cutting through the damp air like it’s Coors Field.

A baseball player wearing a black Nationals jersey runs in a training session under palm trees, showcasing athleticism and focus.

Historic Blasts in Back-to-Back Nights

The 448-foot shot on Tuesday wasn’t just personal best — it was the longest homer hit at T-Mobile Park all season, even beating Aaron Judge’s 444-foot moonshot from May 14.

Washington manager Dave Martinez isn’t surprised.

“I’ve seen him hit a lot of balls really far and really hard,” Martinez said. “He’s just a really good hitter.”

Looking to bet on rising rookies? Don’t miss the MLB expert betting guide for smart futures picks.

Wood Has Help — Nationals’ Bats Are Waking Up

James Wood wasn’t the only one flexing in Game 2 of the series. Josh Bell, Luis Garcia Jr., and Robert Hassell III all went deep in the Nationals’ 9-0 blowout win.

The supporting cast finally clicked, giving Trevor Williams some well-earned breathing room after six scoreless innings.

For Hassell, that was his first career homer, coming just a week after his MLB debut.

“Everyone contributed,” Martinez said. “It was a team win, and it started by keeping things simple and staying on the baseball.”

Explore full team stats and emerging stars on the MLB odds page.

MacKenzie Gore vs Emerson Hancock: Who’s Got the Edge?

MacKenzie Gore (2-5, 3.47 ERA) might not have the win-loss record you’d expect, but don’t be fooled — he’s pitching far better than it shows. In his last outing, he left a scoreless game in the seventh and still got charged with a loss.

That’s tough luck, but Gore has been quietly dealing. Just look at his prior matchup against the Mariners on May 24: seven innings, one run, eight strikeouts — and the win.

He’s got the history and the stuff to close out this series.

Want to see how these matchups trend? Check out the MLB pick page.

Hancock Looks to Regroup

On the other side, Mariners righty Emerson Hancock (2-2, 5.95 ERA) is still finding his footing. He broke a four-start winless streak in his last game with a solid six-inning outing against Houston, giving up three runs on nine hits.

But he’s never faced the Nationals before — and with their offense heating up, he’ll need pinpoint command to avoid damage.

Remember the Trade? It’s Paying Off Big for the Nats

CJ Abrams. James Wood. Robert Hassell III. MacKenzie Gore.

What do they have in common? They were all part of the massive trade that sent Juan Soto and Josh Bell to the Padres in 2022. That’s looking like a masterclass of a rebuild for the Nationals now.

Josh Bell even returned to D.C. as a free agent this year — full circle.

This wave of young talent is already making noise. They’re not waiting to “grow into the moment” — they’re seizing it now.

Track division races and player momentum at the MLB blog hub.

Seattle’s Offense Slumping at the Worst Time

Here’s the stat that’s keeping Mariners fans up at night: Seattle is now 2-12 in games where they don’t hit a home run.

And they managed just five singles in Wednesday’s game. No extra-base hits. No walks. No power. Just soft contact and missed opportunities.

Manager Dan Wilson kept it short and sweet: “Tough one tonight. One to move on from.”

Still, the Mariners can’t afford to keep moving on without adjustments.

Want predictions on division standings? Scope out the AL West breakdown.

FAQs

How many homers does James Wood have this season?

He now has five home runs with an exit velocity of 112+ mph, which already ties a franchise season record.

Who else hit home runs for the Nationals?

In Game 2 vs. Seattle, Bell, Garcia Jr., and Hassell III all went deep.

What are MacKenzie Gore’s stats vs. the Mariners?

He’s 1-0 against Seattle, allowing just one run and striking out eight over seven innings on May 24, 2024.

How has Emerson Hancock performed recently?

Hancock snapped a four-game skid with a solid outing vs. Houston, allowing three runs in six innings.

What’s the key to Seattle’s success?

When they homer, they win. Without the long ball, their record plummets, as seen in their current 2-12 mark in homerless games.

Conclusion: The Future is Now for the Nationals

James Wood isn’t just putting up highlight-reel home runs — he’s helping change the culture in Washington. With MacKenzie Gore on the mound and a chance to sweep Seattle on the road, the Nats are showing they’re ahead of schedule in this rebuild.

The Mariners, meanwhile, are looking for answers — at the plate and in their rotation.

The series finale could define both team’s momentum moving into the heart of the season.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Seattle Mariners
-
-
-110
O 7.5
-110
Washington Nationals
-
-
-110
U 7.5
-110
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

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Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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