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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees July 1st 2025
The New York Yankees will play against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. The game will start at 3:07 PM and will be shown on SNET. It will be an afternoon game, with overcast clouds and a light breeze expected.
The Yankees have a 48-36 record this season, with a road record of 22-19. Max Fried will start for the Yankees, bringing an ERA of 1.92 and a record of 10-2. The Blue Jays have a 46-38 record, with a home record of 26-16. Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, with an ERA of 4.21 and a record of 6-6.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
- Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
- Yankees MoneyLine: -167
- Blue Jays MoneyLine: +139
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are ready to bounce back after their narrow 5-4 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. In that game, Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Cody Bellinger both hit home runs, showing their power at the plate. Carlos Rodón pitched five innings, allowing only two earned runs, which kept the game close.
The Yankees have strong stats this season that make them contenders. They rank second in the league for on-base percentage (.334) and slugging percentage (.447). Their pitching staff is also solid, with an earned run average of 3.49, ranked seventh in the league, and they have the best batting average against at .218.
Max Fried will be on the mound for the Yankees, boasting a stellar ERA of 1.92 and a WHIP of 0.94. With a record of 10-2, Fried is a key player for the Yankees. Aaron Judge, with a batting average of .354 and 30 home runs, will also be crucial in the lineup as they aim for a win against the Blue Jays.
The Blue Jays Can Win If…
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a 5-4 win against the New York Yankees. Max Scherzer pitched five innings, allowing just two earned runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the offense with three RBIs, while Ernie Clement and Davis Schneider each added two hits.
Toronto’s batting average ranks 3rd in the league at .257, showing their ability to get on base consistently. Their on-base percentage is 4th at .325, which helps them create scoring opportunities. The Blue Jays also have a solid 7th rank in doubles, with 141 this season.
Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, aiming to improve his 6-6 record. He has a WHIP of 1.06, which indicates he limits base runners effectively. With their strong batting lineup and Gausman on the mound, Toronto has a solid chance to secure another win.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored with a MoneyLine of -167. They have strong batting stats, ranking second in on-base and slugging percentages. The Blue Jays have a MoneyLine of +139 and rank lower in pitching with a 4.20 ERA. My model projects the Yankees to win 5-3, so I recommend picking the Yankees to win straight up.
The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Yankees’ pitching is solid with a 3.49 ERA, and the Blue Jays have a decent batting average of .257. My model predicts a total of 8 runs. I recommend taking the under, as the total matches the line, and both teams have strong pitching stats.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Banged-Up Blue Jays and Yankees Clash in Key Divisional Showdown
It is a battle of attrition in the American League East. The Toronto Blue Jays will look to tighten the division race on Tuesday in a Canada Day matinee, but both they and the visiting New York Yankees are dealing with a growing list of injuries to key players.
The Walking Wounded
The Blue Jays won the series opener 5-4 on Monday, but it was a costly victory. Starter Max Scherzer experienced fatigue in his pitching thumb and forearm, shortstop Bo Bichette was a late scratch with knee discomfort, and outfielder George Springer left the game after taking a knee to the throat area.
“It is frustrating,” Scherzer said of his thumb issue. “I’m still dealing with this, still managing it.”
The Yankees are just as banged-up. Center fielder Trent Grisham left Monday’s game with a hamstring injury, and catcher Austin Wells is undergoing tests for a circulation issue in his hand. How injuries to key players affect a team’s odds is a major topic in our expert betting guide.
The Fried Factor
The Yankees will look to even the series by turning to their ace, Max Fried (10-2, 1.92 ERA). Fried will be trying to become the first 11-game winner in the majors, and he has been historically dominant against Toronto. In four career starts against the Blue Jays, the lefty is a perfect 3-0 with a minuscule 0.72 ERA.
A Rematch on the Mound
Tuesday’s game is a direct rematch of an April 27 start where Fried completely shut down the Blue Jays. Toronto will counter with their own veteran right-hander, Kevin Gausman (6-6, 4.21 ERA), who was on the losing end of that game and will be looking for a measure of revenge. This pitching matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
The Race for the East
With their win on Monday, the Blue Jays have pulled to within two games of the first-place Yankees. This four-game series is a massive opportunity for two of the best MLB teams to make a statement in the divisional race. To see who our experts think will win this crucial matchup, check out our daily MLB picks.
