Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 2nd 2025

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The New York Yankees will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. The game will start at 7:07 PM and will be broadcast on AMZP. The weather forecast predicts a warm evening with clear skies and a light breeze, making it a pleasant night for baseball.

The Yankees enter the game with a record of 48-37, while the Blue Jays hold a 47-38 record. Both teams are in the AL East division. The Yankees’ road record stands at 22-20, while the Blue Jays have a strong home record of 27-16. Starting on the mound for the Yankees is Will Warren, who has a 4.37 ERA. José Berríos will pitch for the Blue Jays, with a 3.27 ERA.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
  • Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025
  • Betting Odds:
    • Consensus: Yankees -128, Blue Jays +110
    • Fanduel: Yankees -126, Blue Jays +108
    • Betmgm: Yankees -130, Blue Jays +110
    • Caesars: Yankees -130, Blue Jays +110

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a tough 5-12 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite the loss, Aaron Judge had a strong performance, going 2 for 2 with two runs scored. Paul Goldschmidt also contributed with two hits and a run.

The Yankees have several stats that show they can win. They rank second in the league for home runs with 128. Their on-base percentage is also second in the league at .335, giving them many scoring opportunities.

Will Warren is set to start for the Yankees with a 5-4 record. His previous start against the Athletics was solid, with no runs allowed in five innings. With the Yankees’ strong batting lineup and Warren’s potential, they have a good chance to win this game.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a strong win against the New York Yankees, taking the game 12-5. George Springer was a standout, driving in seven runs with two home runs. Andrés Giménez also contributed with a three-run homer, showcasing the team’s offensive strength.

Toronto’s batting average ranks 3rd in the league at .257, which shows their ability to consistently hit the ball. They also have a solid on-base percentage, ranking 5th at .325. With 141 doubles this season, they rank 7th, indicating their knack for getting extra-base hits.

José Berríos will take the mound for the Blue Jays, bringing a strong ERA of 3.27. His ability to limit opposing hitters to a .238 batting average is key. With 754 strikeouts this season, the Blue Jays’ pitching staff ranks 5th, showing their effectiveness on the mound.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored on the moneyline with odds of -128 at most sportsbooks. The Blue Jays have a moneyline of +110. Given the Yankees’ strong pitching, with a team ERA of 3.57 and the best batting average against at .218, the recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win. The projected score is Yankees 5, Blue Jays 3.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Yankees’ pitching strength and the Blue Jays’ lower slugging percentage, ranked 15th, suggest a lower-scoring game. The recommendation is to take the under. The projected total is 8 runs, which aligns with the under option at 9.0 runs.

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Blue Jays Look to Tie Yankees for First Place in AL East Showdown

A month ago, the New York Yankees had a comfortable 5 1/2-game lead in the American League East. On Wednesday night, the Toronto Blue Jays have a chance to erase all of it. The surging Toronto Blue Jays will look to move into a tie for first place in the division as they continue their four-game series against the visiting and slumping New York Yankees.

Springer’s Special Canada Day

The Blue Jays won the second game of the series 12-5 on Tuesday thanks to a historic performance from their veteran leader, George Springer. He drove in a career-high seven runs, hitting a grand slam and a solo homer for his 100th and 101st home runs as a Blue Jay.

“What he did today was pretty amazing,” Blue Jays manager John Schneider said. “It was kind of a special feeling.”

The offensive explosion came even with star shortstop Bo Bichette out of the lineup with a knee injury, showcasing the team’s “next-man-up” mentality.

Yankees’ Struggles in the Clutch

While the Blue Jays are clicking, the Yankees are in a free-fall, having lost 12 of their last 18 games. Their biggest issue has been a complete inability to get a hit with runners in scoring position. In the first two games of this series, they are a combined 3-for-24 in those key situations.

“We’re not playing our best baseball by any means,” said reliever Luke Weaver. “We’ve just run into a buzz saw.”

A Duel of Right-Handers

Wednesday’s pitching matchup features a veteran facing a rookie. The Blue Jays will start Jose Berrios (4-3, 3.26 ERA), who has already tossed 5 1/3 shutout innings against the Yankees this season.

The Yankees will counter with rookie Will Warren (5-4, 4.37 ERA), who is making his first career start against Toronto. He had a solid month of June, posting a 2.86 ERA. This intriguing matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

Banged-Up but Battling

Both MLB teams are dealing with injuries to key players, turning this series into a battle of attrition. How teams handle the “dog days” of summer is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see if our experts think the Blue Jays can complete the comeback and tie for first place, check out our daily MLB picks.

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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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