Yankees Aim to Narrow AL East Gap in Crucial Series vs. Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees July 21st 2025

The New York Yankees will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Monday, July 21, 2025. The game is scheduled to start at 7:07 PM and will be broadcast on SNET. This night game features clear skies, but the retractable roof at Rogers Centre means the weather will not impact play.

The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, enter the game with a 55-44 record. They are 3 games behind in the AL East. Carlos Rodón will start for the Yankees, boasting a 3.08 ERA and a 10-6 record. The Blue Jays, led by manager John Schneider, have a 58-41 record. Kevin Gausman will pitch for Toronto, holding a 4.18 ERA and a 6-7 record.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -118, Blue Jays Moneyline +100, Yankees Runline -1.5 (+143), Blue Jays Runline +1.5 (-171), Total Over 8.0 (-113), Total Under 8.0 (-107)

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a 4-2 win against the Atlanta Braves. Marcus Stroman pitched six innings, allowing just one earned run. Aaron Judge hit a home run, while Giancarlo Stanton went 3-for-5, showing strong performances from key players.

The Yankees have a powerful lineup, leading the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. They also rank first in home runs with 156. Their ability to score runs and hit long balls gives them an edge in any game.

Carlos Rodón will start for the Yankees with a solid ERA of 3.08. He has a WHIP of 1.00, showing his ability to control the game. With Rodón on the mound and a strong offense, the Yankees have a good chance to win.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays won their last game against the San Francisco Giants, 8-6. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit a home run and drove in two runs. George Springer and Bo Bichette also contributed with extra-base hits.

The Blue Jays lead the league in batting average with .261. They are also strong in doubles, ranking fifth with 172. Their hitters are capable of putting pressure on opposing pitchers.

Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays. He has a WHIP of 1.16, which shows he limits baserunners. Gausman’s ability to control the game will be key against the Yankees.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored on the moneyline at -118. The Blue Jays are at +100. The Yankees have a strong hitting lineup, leading in on-base percentage and home runs. Their pitching also ranks well with a .225 batting average against. My model projects the Yankees to win 5-4. I recommend taking the Yankees on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0. The Yankees and Blue Jays both have solid offenses, with the Yankees leading in several hitting categories. However, both teams have strong pitching, with the Yankees excelling in strikeouts and batting average against. My model projects a total score of 9. I recommend taking the over at 8.0 (-113).

Yankees Chasing Division-Leading Jays in Visit to Toronto

The New York Yankees are looking for payback and positioning when they open a critical three-game road series against the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday night.

Back in early July, the Yankees were swept in four games at Rogers Centre, a stretch that knocked them from the top of the American League East standings and vaulted the Blue Jays into first. The stakes are just as high this time, with Toronto still holding a three-game lead over New York in the division.

“Hopefully, we can go have a better result this time around,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said.

The Blue Jays enter with momentum, riding a 10-game home winning streak — a franchise-best stretch matched only once before, in 1985. Sunday’s 8-6 win over the San Francisco Giants capped another series win and continued a dominant run at Rogers Centre.

Meanwhile, the Yankees bounced back from a series-opening loss in Atlanta by taking the final two games, including a gritty 4-2 win on Sunday behind an early home run from Aaron Judge, his 36th of the season.

“It’s a good time to start getting hot,” Judge said. “Especially going into Toronto, who is leading the division.”

Judge’s homer also tied him with Alex Rodriguez for sixth on the Yankees’ all-time list with 351 career long balls.

The Yankees will send Carlos Rodon (10-6, 3.08 ERA) to the mound. The left-hander last faced the Blue Jays on June 30, giving up two runs over five innings in a no-decision. Lifetime, he owns a 4.85 ERA across eight career starts versus Toronto.

The Blue Jays counter with Kevin Gausman (6-7, 4.19 ERA), who has had a rocky time against the Yankees this year. He’s posted a 9.39 ERA in two starts against them, including a loss on April 27 and a no-decision on July 1.

Still, Toronto skipper John Schneider believes his team is ready.

“We’ve worked really hard to get to this point,” Schneider said. “It’s going to be a hard series… We just have to play our game.”

The Yankees’ confidence may be bolstered by Saturday’s stunning 12-9 comeback over Atlanta, capped by Trent Grisham’s ninth-inning grand slam. That momentum carried into Sunday’s win, with Giancarlo Stanton going 3-for-5 and adding stability to the middle of the order.

“We’re ready,” Stanton said. “This set us up good, coming back (Saturday) into a quick turnaround today.”

The Yankees and Blue Jays have split their two series so far this season, with the Yankees winning two of three in April and Toronto taking all four in July. They’ll meet again in New York from Sept. 5-7 — but this week could determine who controls the division entering the final stretch.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 21st 2025