Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 22nd 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB Tue, Jul 22, 18:07 pm.
Toronto Blue Jays
ML: -133
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New York Yankees
ML: 105
Last Updated on

The New York Yankees are set to play against the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. The game will start at 7:07 PM and will be broadcast on YES. The weather forecast is a warm day with a light breeze, but the retractable roof at the stadium means weather won’t impact the game.

The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, have a 55-45 record this season. They are 4 games back in the AL East. On the other hand, the Blue Jays, led by John Schneider, hold a 59-41 record. The Blue Jays have a strong home record of 36-16. Starting pitchers for the game are Cam Schlittler for the Yankees and Max Scherzer for the Blue Jays.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
  • Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline +108, Blue Jays Moneyline -127

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees recently played the Toronto Blue Jays, losing 1-4. Giancarlo Stanton hit a home run, contributing the team’s only score. Despite the loss, their previous games against the Atlanta Braves showed their potential with wins of 4-2 and 12-9, highlighting their offensive capability.

The Yankees have a strong lineup with Aaron Judge leading the charge. He holds a .349 batting average and has hit 36 home runs this season. The team ranks first in on-base percentage and slugging percentage, showing their ability to get on base and score runs.

On the mound, Cam Schlittler will start for the Yankees. His ERA is 5.06, but his WHIP of 1.12 suggests he can control the game. The Yankees’ pitching staff has the best batting average against in the league, limiting opponents to a .225 average, which can be crucial in securing a win.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a 4-1 win over the New York Yankees. Kevin Gausman pitched seven strong innings, allowing just one run and striking out eight. Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. contributed with key hits, helping the team secure the victory.

The Blue Jays lead the league with a .260 batting average, showing they can consistently get on base. Their on-base percentage ranks second at .329, highlighting their ability to work counts and draw walks. With 175 doubles, they rank sixth, indicating their power to hit for extra bases.

Max Scherzer will start for the Blue Jays, bringing his experience to the mound. The team’s pitching staff ranks fourth in strikeouts with 896, showing their ability to dominate hitters. The Blue Jays’ recent success at home gives them confidence going into this game against the Yankees.

The Lean

The Blue Jays are favored on the moneyline at -127, while the Yankees are at +108. My model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 5-4. The Blue Jays have a strong batting average and on-base percentage, which gives them an edge in this game.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs, with both the over and under at -110. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Given the strong hitting stats from both teams, the recommendation is to take the over, as both teams have the potential to score runs.

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David vs. Goliath: Rookie Schlittler Faces Scherzer as Yanks Battle Jays

It is a classic David vs. Goliath matchup on the pitcher’s mound in Toronto on Tuesday night. A rookie making his second career start will face a three-time Cy Young Award winner as the slumping New York Yankees try to snap the red-hot Toronto Blue Jays’ 11-game home winning streak.

A “Stable” Group in Toronto

The Blue Jays are playing with supreme confidence. After their 4-1 victory in the series opener on Monday, they have extended their division lead over the Yankees to four games. The team is playing clean, fundamental baseball and finding ways to win every night.

“We’ve shown to be resilient,” manager John Schneider said of his club. “They’re pretty well-versed in just saying, ‘OK, what’s important right now?’ It’s nice that they are a very stable group.”

A baseball pitcher, likely a New York Yankees player, is seen in a stance.

A Frustrating Month for New York

While the Blue Jays are surging, the Yankees are in a month-long funk. Monday’s loss was defined by sloppy play, including two costly errors and five walks from their starting pitcher.

“I’m concerned about us playing well and getting consistent, where it’s been a month now where we have not been at our best,” a frustrated manager Aaron Boone said. “We need to, obviously, start playing better consistently.”

A Duel of Opposites

Tuesday’s pitching matchup is a tale of two opposite ends of the experience spectrum. The Blue Jays will start their 40-year-old future Hall of Famer, Max Scherzer (1-0, 4.70 ERA), who will be making his 463rd career start.

The Yankees will counter with rookie Cam Schlittler (1-0, 5.06 ERA), who will be making just his second career start. This massive mismatch on paper will be the top story on the scores and odds board.

The Divisional Race

This series is a massive opportunity for two of the best MLB teams in the American League. How a slumping favorite fares against a hot divisional rival is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see who our experts think will win this fantastic duel, check out our daily MLB picks.