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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors picks and predictions January 5th, 2026
The Atlanta Hawks travel north to face the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, January 5th. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET, and this Eastern Conference matchup features two underperforming teams trying to climb back into the play-in mix. Toronto is a slight -3.5 favorite at home, while the Hawks are priced +134 on the moneyline in what could be a high-possession game.
Both teams are inconsistent, but there’s scoring talent on both sides. With the total set at 237, the market expects pace and minimal defense. Lineups will impact both the spread and total, so check the Atlanta Hawks injury report and Toronto Raptors injury report before locking anything in.
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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Odds
These are the current lines. For updates, check the latest NBA odds page as tipoff approaches.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | +134 | +3.5 (-110) | O 237 |
| Toronto Raptors | -159 | -3.5 (-111) | U 237 |
Atlanta Hawks Betting Form
The Hawks continue to be a frustrating betting team. They rank near the top in offensive efficiency but bottom five in defense—creating a wild mix of overs, late-game collapses, and unpredictable margins. Trae Young and Dejounte Murray are producing, but the rest of the rotation hasn’t stepped up consistently.
Atlanta allows a high volume of threes and doesn’t defend the rim well either, which makes them vulnerable in transition and in the half-court. They’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, and their road form hasn’t been reliable.
Before placing any bets, review the Atlanta Hawks injury report. For more team data, visit the Atlanta Hawks stats and results.
Toronto Raptors Betting Form
Toronto is still adjusting after trading away OG Anunoby, but Scottie Barnes is stepping into a true lead role. The Raptors’ offense has improved slightly in spacing and movement, but they still lack shooting consistency. They rely on points in the paint and transition buckets—both areas where Atlanta struggles defensively.
Defensively, Toronto isn’t elite, but they’ve been better at home. They’re 5-2 ATS in their last seven at Scotiabank Arena and tend to keep games close when they dictate pace. This is a winnable spot if Barnes and Siakam get going early.
Keep a close watch on the Toronto Raptors injury report. For deeper team metrics, check the Toronto Raptors schedule and stats.
Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is about pace and execution. Both teams like to push in transition, and neither plays much defense. That’s why the total is set at 237—and it’s not crazy. Atlanta plays one of the fastest tempos in the league, and Toronto will oblige if the game opens up.
Some matchup angles to note:
- Transition Defense: Hawks are bottom five; Raptors should feast on fast breaks.
- Three-Point Shooting: Neither team shoots well, but both allow high volumes.
- Free Throw Rate: Atlanta gets to the line more; Toronto defends without fouling.
- Turnovers: Slight edge to Toronto; Hawks have been sloppy late in games.
If you’re new to tempo and efficiency trends, our NBA betting guide breaks down how shot profiles and pace affect totals and side value.
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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Predictions and Best Bets
This line feels close to right. Toronto at home is the more stable team, especially with Barnes emerging as a primary option. But Atlanta has the higher ceiling if Trae gets hot or if their bench shows up. Still, the Hawks’ defensive profile is too shaky to back them with confidence—even catching +3.5.
Where the value lies is the total. Yes, 237 is high—but these teams are capable of scoring in bursts, and neither can stop a transition run. With both teams lacking half-court resistance, expect a fast pace and high shot volume. Unless the shooting is truly cold, this clears the number.
Best Bet: Over 237.
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