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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Golden State returns to Chase Center riding its best stretch of home basketball this season. The Warriors have won three straight at home and five of six overall, and the schedule finally flips in their favor with 10 of the next 11 in San Francisco. Steve Kerr’s group has topped 120 points in five straight games and looks far more comfortable with its rotations.
Oklahoma City arrives on a three-game winning streak of its own, but this marks a true road test. The Thunder have not won away from home since early December and have dropped their last two road games at San Antonio and Minnesota. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to set the tone, while Jalen Williams brings added motivation in a Bay Area homecoming.
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Line Movement and Odds
Oklahoma City opened -3.5 and has slid to -2 as Golden State’s home form and shooting consistency drew attention. The Warriors now sit at +2, with sharper interest on the home side at the reduced number.
The total opened at 237.5 and has crept up to 239. Bettors expect pace, transition scoring, and shot volume from both teams. Moneyline pricing remains narrow, reflecting respect for Oklahoma City’s overall profile.
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Matchup Breakdown
Golden State’s advantage is rhythm and spacing. Stephen Curry has found better looks during this homestand, and Brandin Podziemski’s recent surge adds secondary creation. When the Warriors move the ball and defend without fouling, their offense sustains pressure for all four quarters.
Oklahoma City thrives on forcing turnovers and converting them into quick points. The Thunder rank among the league leaders in points off turnovers, and Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to collapse defenses drives everything. Jalen Williams impacts the game beyond scoring with rebounding, passing, and defensive activity.
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Injuries and Conditions
Golden State Warriors
- Andrew Wiggins, knee management, probable
- Gary Payton II, calf, probable
See full Golden State Warriors injury report.
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Josh Giddey, ankle, questionable
- Cason Wallace, wrist, probable
See full Oklahoma City Thunder injury report.
This game is indoors. No weather impact.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Golden State is playing its most consistent basketball of the season and finally benefits from rest and familiarity at home. Oklahoma City’s pressure and depth keep it competitive, but recent road form raises concerns.
Projected Score: Warriors 121, Thunder 118
Best Bet: Warriors +2
Secondary Lean: Over 239
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