Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions February 11, 2026

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The San Antonio Spurs (37-16) travel to the Chase Center on Wednesday night for a Western Conference showdown against the Golden State Warriors (29-25). This 10:00 PM ET tip-off on ESPN serves as the final curtain call for both squads before the All-Star break. San Antonio is currently the hottest team in the West, riding a five-game winning streak that includes a 136-108 demolition of the Lakers just last night. The Spurs sit securely in the 2nd seed, trailing only Oklahoma City.

The Warriors, meanwhile, are treading water in the 8th spot. While they managed a gritty one-point win over Memphis on Monday, the vibes in San Francisco are complicated. The team recently acquired Kristaps Porzingis to bolster their frontcourt, but they remain severely shorthanded in the backcourt. With the All-Star break on the horizon, Golden State is desperate for a signature win to prove they can contend with the elite, even while their franchise cornerstone remains in street clothes.

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Odds

Despite playing the second half of a back-to-back, the Spurs are listed as 5.5-point favorites. This reflects both San Antonio’s dominant form and the significant injury gaps in the Golden State rotation. Keep an eye on the latest NBA odds for any late movement, particularly if San Antonio decides to manage the minutes of their younger stars.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
San Antonio Spurs-218-5.5 (-114)O 221 (-110)
Golden State Warriors+181+5.5 (-108)U 221 (-110)

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San Antonio Spurs Betting Form

San Antonio is playing at a level we haven’t seen in the post-Duncan era. Stephon Castle is the talk of the league after dropping a 40-point triple-double (40 PTS, 12 REB, 12 AST) against Dallas earlier this week, followed by Victor Wembanyama matching that 40-point mark against the Lakers last night. The Spurs rank 8th in offense (117.6 PPG) and 6th in defense (112.2 PPG), a balance that makes them terrifying for any opponent. For a full statistical breakdown, visit the San Antonio Spurs schedule and stats page.

The San Antonio Spurs injury report is remarkably clean. Outside of Lindy Waters III (knee), the core rotation is fully healthy. However, bettors should note this is the second game in 24 hours for the Spurs. While Wembanyama and Castle are young and resilient, head coach Mitch Johnson might monitor their first-half usage to ensure they don’t hit a “wall” before the break. The Spurs are 28-23-2 ATS this season, including a solid 15-12-1 mark on the road.

Golden State Warriors Betting Form

The Warriors are a ship without its captain. Stephen Curry is officially OUT until after the All-Star break with a knee injury, leaving a massive void in both scoring and leadership. While Al Horford and Pat Spencer provided heroic efforts against Memphis, the offense lacks its usual gravity. The trade for Kristaps Porzingis was intended to solve their interior issues, but the “Unicorn” is also sidelined with an Achilles issue and won’t debut until after the break. You can track their home-court performance on the Golden State Warriors stats and results page.

The Golden State Warriors injury report is a laundry list of key names. Jimmy Butler III is out for the season, and Seth Curry remains sidelined with a back injury. This leaves Brandin Podziemski and Moses Moody to shoulder a heavy offensive burden against a Spurs defense that excels at the rim. The Warriors are a middle-of-the-road 25-29 ATS this year and have struggled against elite defenses, failing to clear 110 points in three of their last five outings.

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Breakdown

This game will be won or lost in the paint, where San Antonio holds a massive physical advantage.

  • Wembanyama vs. Horford: While Al Horford is a defensive mastermind, he is giving up nearly eight inches to Wembanyama. Without Porzingis to help protect the rim, the Warriors will have to double-team the French phenom, leaving shooters like Castle and Champagnie open.
  • The Perimeter Vacuum: Golden State leads the league in three-pointers made (16.3 per game), but without Steph or Seth Curry, that number is likely to regress. The Spurs allow the 6th-fewest points in the league and are disciplined at closing out on shooters.
  • Rebound Disparity: Golden State ranks 24th in rebounding, while San Antonio is 3rd. Second-chance points could be the deciding factor if the Warriors’ three-point shots aren’t falling.

For more insights on how travel schedules impact these late-night ESPN games, the NBA betting guide offers a great deep dive into back-to-back betting strategies.

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Predictions and Best Bets

I am laying the points with the Spurs. I know it’s a back-to-back, but the talent gap right now is cavernous. San Antonio is playing for momentum and to tighten their grip on the 2nd seed, while Golden State is just trying to survive until the break. Wembanyama is a nightmare matchup for an aging Warriors frontcourt, and Stephon Castle is currently playing like the best guard in the conference. Golden State’s lack of a primary playmaker against the 6th-ranked defense in the league is a recipe for a double-digit loss.

Regarding the total, I like the Under 221. The Spurs’ defense is elite, and without Steph Curry, the Warriors’ offensive ceiling is significantly lowered. Additionally, the second night of a back-to-back for San Antonio often leads to a slower pace and heavier legs in the fourth quarter.

Best Bet: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 (-114).

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