Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions June 11th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder June 11th 2025

The NBA Finals are heating up as the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers prepare for Game 3. The series is tied 1-1, making this game crucial for both teams. Oklahoma City Thunder, led by head coach Mark Daigneault, have shown strong performances throughout the playoffs with a 13-5 postseason record. They recently secured a 123-107 win over the Pacers in Game 2, thanks to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 34-point performance.

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, coached by Rick Carlisle, are ready to defend their home court at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers have demonstrated resilience, coming back from deficits multiple times in the playoffs. Tyrese Haliburton is a key player for Indiana, although he struggled in Game 2, scoring only 17 points. With the series tied, both teams will look to gain an edge in this pivotal matchup on Wednesday night at 8:30 PM, broadcasted on ABC.

Thunder vs Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
• Thunder Spread: -5.5 (-107)
• Pacers Spread: +5.5 (-113)
• Thunder MoneyLine: -215
• Pacers MoneyLine: +179
• Over/Under: 228.5

The Thunder Can Win If…

The Oklahoma City Thunder recently secured a strong 123-107 win over the Indiana Pacers in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 34 points, eight assists, and four steals. Aaron Wiggins also provided a boost off the bench with 18 points, highlighting the team’s depth and versatility.

The Thunder’s offensive stats in the postseason are impressive, ranking second in points per game with 117.0. They also excel in possessions per game and field goal attempts, both ranked second. Their ability to maintain a high tempo and efficient shooting makes them a tough opponent for any team.

Oklahoma City’s defense is another key factor in their success, allowing only 106.6 points per game, which ranks fifth. Their opponents’ field goal percentage is just 42.9%, the best in the league. With elite defenders like Lu Dort and Alex Caruso, the Thunder’s defense can stifle opposing offenses, creating opportunities for fast breaks and easy points.

The Pacers Can Win If…

The Indiana Pacers are set to play Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Despite a 123-107 loss in Game 2, Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 17 points. The Pacers have a strong home record of 29-12 this season, which could be a key advantage as they aim to take the lead in the series.

Offensively, the Pacers rank first in the league in field goal percentage at 49.4% and effective field goal percentage at 57.4%. They also lead the NBA in three-point percentage at 40.1%. With these stats, the Pacers have the ability to outshoot their opponents, making them a formidable force on their home court.

In the postseason, the Pacers have a positive ATS record of 11-6-0, including a 5-3-0 record at home. This indicates their ability to cover the spread, especially when playing on their own court. As they return home for Game 3, the Pacers will look to capitalize on their shooting efficiency and home-court advantage to secure a win against the Thunder.

The Lean

For the point spread, take the Thunder -5.5. The Thunder score 117.0 points per game and allow 106.6 points. The Pacers score 116.4 points per game but allow 113.6 points. The model projects the Thunder to win by 7 points, covering the spread.

For the over/under, choose the under 228.5. The Thunder’s defense allows 106.6 points per game, while the Pacers’ defense allows 113.6 points. The model projects a total score of 223 points, which is below the current line.

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NBA Finals Shifts to Indiana for Pivotal Game 3

The series is tied, the slate is clean, and the NBA Finals are heading to Indianapolis for the first time since 2000. After the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers traded wins in OKC, the championship now comes down to a best-of-five, starting with a pivotal Game 3 on Wednesday night.

“It’s first team to three,” Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander said. “Kind of like it’s a blank slate.”

The Million-Dollar Question: How to Stop SGA?

The biggest challenge for the Pacers has been finding an answer for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The MVP has been on a historic tear, scoring 72 points through the first two games — the most ever for a player in their Finals debut. His dominant performance has made him a heavy favorite in the NBA Finals MVP odds.

“A series is so tricky. It definitely is a feeling-out,” SGA said, acknowledging he has to be “ready for everything” as the Pacers defense adjusts.

Indiana’s Health and Home Court Advantage

The Pacers are banking on their home crowd to provide a major boost. “It’s like our sixth man,” guard Andrew Nembhard said. They’ll need that energy to support their star, Tyrese Haliburton, who admitted Tuesday he’s dealing with a “lower body thing” that seemed to impact him in Game 2. After a heroic game-winner in Game 1, Haliburton struggled with turnovers and pressure defense in the loss.

“Everything that’s already happened doesn’t matter, other than the score of the series,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said. “We have to move forward.” The outcome of this game will dramatically shift the NBA championship odds.

The Possession Battle

According to Thunder coach Mark Daigneault, the series hinges on one key concept: the possession battle. In Game 1, the Thunder forced turnovers but were outrebounded. In Game 2, they crashed the boards more effectively to control the game. How each team manages turnovers and rebounds will be a critical factor, a topic explored deeply in our NBA expert betting guide.

“We have a group of guys that are just ready to play,” said Thunder guard Jalen Williams, noting the team’s flexibility to use different lineups to win that battle. With the series now a toss-up, you can track the latest lines on our NBA scores and odds page.