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Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Dallas Mavericks on Friday, November 7, 2025, at FedExForum in a pivotal NBA Cup matchup. Both teams are struggling early in the season — Memphis has lost four straight and sits at 3-6, while Dallas is 2-6 and riding a three-game skid. With key players missing or underperforming, this game offers a chance for either side to reset and build momentum in tournament play.
Line Movement and Odds
Memphis is favored by 4.5 points at home. The total is set at 229.5. The Grizzlies are -176 on the moneyline, while the Mavericks are +148. Both teams have failed to cover in recent outings, and the spread reflects uncertainty around player availability and offensive consistency. Full odds breakdown available on ScoresAndStats NBA Odds.
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Matchup Breakdown
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook
Memphis is in a rut, and the pressure is mounting on stars Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. Morant has struggled with efficiency, shooting just 31% over his last two games and going 1-for-11 from deep. Jackson’s shot volume has plummeted, averaging just 11.7 attempts per game — his lowest since 2020-21 — and he’s scored single digits in back-to-back games. Coach Tuomas Iisalo has acknowledged the need to get Jackson more touches, but the team’s ball movement and confidence appear shaken.
Despite the slump, Memphis has some bright spots. Rookie Cedric Coward and Santi Aldama have shown flashes of scoring depth, and the team ranks 8th in pace and 5th in free throw percentage (84.4%). If they can clean up their perimeter shooting (currently 25th in 3PT%) and re-establish Jackson as a focal point, they have the tools to turn things around.
Dallas Mavericks Outlook
Dallas is also navigating a rough patch, compounded by injuries to Kyrie Irving (knee) and Anthony Davis (calf). Coach Jason Kidd made a bold move by shifting Klay Thompson to the bench, and the veteran responded with 11 points on 4-of-7 shooting. Rookie Cooper Flagg continues to impress, posting 20 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 steals in the narrow loss to New Orleans.
Defensively, Dallas has been solid. They lead the league in limiting opponent three-pointers (10.2 per game) and hold teams to just 33.1% from beyond the arc. Their pace (6th in possessions per game) allows them to generate transition opportunities, but they rank last in points per game and struggle to close out tight contests. With Thompson adjusting to a new role and Flagg emerging as a reliable scorer, Dallas has the pieces to compete — but they’ll need more consistency from the supporting cast.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
This game could hinge on which team’s star steps up. If Morant finds his rhythm and Jackson asserts himself early, Memphis can control tempo and exploit Dallas’ interior defense. For the Mavericks, Flagg’s versatility and Thompson’s shooting off the bench will be critical. Both teams play fast, but Memphis has the edge in free throw efficiency and depth scoring. The battle between young talent — Coward vs. Flagg — could be a sneakily decisive factor.
Injuries / Availability
Dallas remains without Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis. Memphis has Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. available, but both are underperforming. No new injuries reported for either team, though rotational adjustments are expected.
Environment
Game is at FedExForum in Memphis, where the Grizzlies are 1-3 this season. Dallas is 1-3 on the road. Both teams are desperate to break losing streaks and gain traction in NBA Cup play. The crowd could play a role in energizing Memphis, especially if Jackson gets going early.
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Best Bets and Prediction
- Memphis Grizzlies -4.5
- Under 229.5
Memphis has the edge in pace and free throw efficiency, and our model projects a 116-110 win. With both teams struggling offensively and Dallas playing strong perimeter defense, the under 229.5 is a solid lean. If Jackson and Morant respond to recent criticism, the Grizzlies should cover at home.
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