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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Betting Preview
The Miami Heat host the New York Knicks at Kaseya Center in NBA Cup play. Miami enters at 7-6, dealing with injuries to Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro, while New York sits at 8-4 but is without Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby. Both teams split their first two meetings this season, setting up a high-scoring divisional rematch.
Line Movement and Odds
- Knicks Spread: +1.5 (-111)
- Heat Spread: -1.5 (-111)
- Knicks MoneyLine: +100
- Heat MoneyLine: -119
- Total: 241.5
Miami opened as a slight home favorite, reflecting their strong home record and New York’s road struggles. See full NBA odds for market movement.
Matchup Breakdown
New York Knicks Outlook
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 39 in Friday’s win over Miami, while Landry Shamet added a career-high 36. The Knicks rank 4th in scoring (122.1 ppg) and lead the league in threes made (16.8 per game). Defensively, they allow 115.2 points per game, 12th best, and limit opponents’ shot volume. Depth contributions from Shamet and Josh Hart have helped offset injuries to Brunson and Anunoby.
Miami Heat Outlook
Norman Powell scored 38 in the loss to New York, continuing his hot start with nine 20-point games in his first 10 outings. Jaime Jaquez Jr. added 23 points and 9 rebounds. Miami leads the league in scoring (125.3 ppg) and possessions per game (105.8), ranking among the top teams in efficiency at 49.2% FG. Their ball movement is elite, with 30.4 assists per game, 2nd in the league. Adebayo’s potential return would boost rebounding, a current weakness.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The Knicks must continue hitting threes and rely on Towns’ inside-out scoring to stretch Miami’s defense. The Heat need Powell and Jaquez to provide scoring while Adebayo’s presence, if available, stabilizes rebounding. Perimeter shooting and pace will dictate the outcome.
Injuries / Availability
New York lists Jalen Brunson (ankle) and OG Anunoby (hamstring) as out. For full player status, check the Knicks injury report.
Miami lists Bam Adebayo (toe) as questionable and Tyler Herro (ankle) as out. See the Heat injury page for latest updates.
Environment
The game tips at Kaseya Center, where Miami is 5-1 at home. New York is 0-3 on the road, struggling outside Madison Square Garden. Expect pace to favor Miami’s transition game, while New York relies on perimeter shooting to stay close.
Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Knicks 123, Heat 121
- Best Bet: Knicks +1.5
New York’s perimeter shooting and Towns’ scoring give them value to cover in a tight contest. - Total: Over 241.5
Both teams rank top five in scoring, and our model projects 244 points.
Miami’s home-court edge makes them slight favorites, but New York’s offensive firepower suggests they can steal a road win. Expect a high-scoring battle that leans over the total.
Handicappers and Service Plays
For added betting perspective on this divisional clash, check insights from our Best Handicappers, monitor sharp performance on the Leaderboard, and explore premium selections in the Buy Picks section to refine your plays.


