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Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game Preview
The Golden State Warriors head to Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks in one of the marquee early-season matchups on Thursday, October 30, 2025. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET on NBCS.
Both teams enter the contest among the league’s hottest. Golden State (4-1) has found rhythm with a balanced attack led by Stephen Curry and new addition Jimmy Butler, while Milwaukee (3-1) continues to thrive behind MVP-level play from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who’s averaging a monstrous 36.3 points and 14 rebounds per game.
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Line Movement and Odds
- Spread: Warriors -2.5 (-110), Bucks +2.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors -137, Bucks +115
- Total: 232 (Over/Under)
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Golden State Warriors Outlook
The Warriors are fresh off a dominant 98-79 win over the Clippers, marking their second straight victory. Their defensive effort has been impressive, holding opponents under 100 points in back-to-back games for the first time this season.
Stephen Curry continues to be the focal point, averaging 27 points per game and shooting 40.8% from deep. Jimmy Butler has seamlessly fit into Steve Kerr’s motion-heavy system, averaging 21.4 points while providing stability and leadership late in games. His presence has taken pressure off Curry, allowing Golden State to play a more balanced, physical brand of basketball.
Jonathan Kuminga’s emergence as a consistent third option has been key. He’s averaging 16 points per game and leading the team in plus/minus, while Draymond Green orchestrates the offense with 7.2 assists per night. The Warriors’ 17.4 made threes per game lead the NBA, powered by their top-three effective field goal percentage (58.7%).
Injury Report
- Alex Toohey (F) – Out, Knee
- Gary Payton II (G) – Probable, Rest
Milwaukee Bucks Outlook
The Bucks have surged to a 3-1 start thanks to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s MVP-level dominance. He’s averaging 36.3 points, 14 rebounds, and 7 assists per game while shooting over 60% from the field. His 37-point performance against the Knicks — including 23 in the second half — highlighted his ability to completely take over games.
Point guard Ryan Rollins has stepped up admirably in Kevin Porter Jr.’s absence, posting 25 points in the win over New York and showing growing confidence as the team’s floor general. Myles Turner has anchored Milwaukee’s interior defense, averaging 2.5 blocks per game, while A.J. Green has added reliable outside shooting.
Milwaukee ranks top three in overall field goal percentage (52.0%) and leads the league in effective field goal rate (60.7%). The Bucks’ ability to stretch the floor and dominate inside makes them one of the NBA’s most efficient offensive units.
Injury Report
- Kevin Porter Jr. (G) – Out, Ankle
- Bobby Portis (F) – Questionable, Illness
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
This matchup centers around Giannis Antetokounmpo’s relentless downhill attack against Golden State’s spacing and ball movement. The Bucks will look to control the paint, leveraging Turner’s rim protection and Giannis’ interior scoring.
For Golden State, the key will be pace and perimeter precision. If Curry and Butler can establish rhythm early and force Milwaukee’s bigs into switches, the Warriors’ spacing could open up high-percentage looks from deep. Expect both teams to push tempo, with transition defense determining the outcome.
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Betting Trends
- Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs Eastern Conference opponents.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams.
- Golden State has won three straight against Milwaukee by double digits.
Prediction
This is an early-season measuring stick for both teams. The Warriors’ ball movement and shooting depth give them an edge on the perimeter, but Giannis’ ability to dominate inside and control tempo could tilt the game Milwaukee’s way. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring contest with playoff-level intensity.
Projected Score: Warriors 118, Bucks 116
Best Bet: Bucks +2.5 (-110)
Total Lean: Over 232 (-110)
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