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Game Preview Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder
The Minnesota Timberwolves head to Paycom Center to take on the red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday, November 26. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET as the Timberwolves look to bounce back against the NBA’s top team.
Minnesota enters the contest at 10-7 following two gut-wrenching losses where late leads slipped away, most recently a 117-112 overtime defeat to the Sacramento Kings. Head coach Chris Finch will look to address late-game execution issues as the Wolves face one of the league’s most disciplined and balanced teams.
The Thunder come in at 17-1, riding a nine-game win streak. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been sensational, earning Western Conference Player of the Week honors while leading Oklahoma City to blowout wins even without Jalen Williams, who remains sidelined. The Thunder have established themselves as the team to beat in the NBA Western Conference.
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Odds and Key Information
Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Spread: Thunder -8.5 (-112), Timberwolves +8.5 (-109)
Moneyline: Thunder -349, Timberwolves +279
Over/Under: 227 (-110)
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Minnesota Timberwolves Outlook
The Timberwolves have the talent to hang with any team but haven’t closed games well lately. Their most recent loss to Sacramento saw Anthony Edwards explode for 43 points and 7 rebounds, continuing his All-Star caliber play. But it wasn’t enough to hold a lead late.
Minnesota ranks 8th in scoring (119.6 PPG) and 9th in field goal percentage (48.6%). Defensively, they allow just 114.2 points per game and limit opponents to 45.5% shooting. These numbers show a balanced profile, capable of both getting stops and putting points on the board.
However, Minnesota’s Achilles heel has been their inconsistency in crunch time. If they can tighten their late-game execution, they are more than capable of covering as underdogs—even against the NBA’s top team.
Check where Minnesota stands in the NBA playoff race and season projections.
Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook
The Thunder have taken the league by storm, boasting a 17-1 record and a dominant statistical profile on both ends. Their most recent outing was a 122-95 dismantling of Portland, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way with 37 points and Ajay Mitchell adding 20 on perfect shooting.
Oklahoma City ranks 3rd in scoring (122.6 PPG), 7th in field goal percentage (48.8%), and leads the league in free throw shooting at 84.9%. Defensively, they allow the fewest points per game (105.7) and hold opponents to just 42.3% shooting—both best in the NBA.
Even with Jalen Williams out, the Thunder’s depth and defensive focus have kept them dominant. Their ability to pressure ball handlers and convert on offense makes them a consistent threat on any given night.
Explore the Thunder’s impact in futures markets on NBA MVP odds and playoff projections.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Timberwolves | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-7 | 17-1 |
| Points Per Game | 119.6 (8th) | 122.6 (3rd) |
| Opponent PPG Allowed | 114.2 (9th) | 105.7 (1st) |
| FG% | 48.6% (9th) | 48.8% (7th) |
| FT% | 77.3% (15th) | 84.9% (1st) |
| Opponent FG% | 45.5% (10th) | 42.3% (1st) |
This matchup features two top-10 scoring offenses and two elite defenses. The Thunder’s superior efficiency and defensive dominance provide a clear edge.
Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home games
- The Over is 5-2 in the Timberwolves’ last 7 road games
- The Under is 6-3 in the Thunder’s last 9 games
- The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Minnesota
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The Lean
Despite Oklahoma City’s dominance, the spread may be too wide for a Timberwolves team that still ranks in the league’s top-10 on both ends. Our model projects a final score of Thunder 118, Timberwolves 110, suggesting value on the Timberwolves +8.5.
The total sits at 227, and both teams have strong offensive systems, especially in transition. The combined score projection of 228 supports a slight lean to the Over 227, though it’s a tight margin.
Spread Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5
Total Pick: Over 227
Projected Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 118, Minnesota Timberwolves 110
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