New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Predictions January 2nd 2026

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New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

New York returns home looking for a response after a rare fourth-quarter breakdown in San Antonio. The Knicks led by 19 and still held a nine-point edge entering the final period before surrendering 38 points. It was only their first loss of the season when leading after three, but it highlighted growing defensive concerns.

Atlanta enters with momentum of its own. The Hawks snapped a seven-game losing streak on New Year’s Eve with a wire-to-wire win over Minnesota. Kristaps Porzingis and Jalen Johnson both returned to the lineup and provided much-needed stability, even with Trae Young still sidelined. The Hawks had lost 12 of 17 before that win, but effort and execution looked sharper.

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Line Movement and Odds

New York opened -9 and has been bet down to -7.5 after continued defensive slippage showed up in the market. Atlanta sits at +7.5, drawing interest from bettors fading the Knicks’ recent fourth-quarter issues.

The total opened at 241.5 and dipped slightly to 240. Both teams have allowed heavy scoring lately, but Atlanta’s improved effort Wednesday tempered early over action. Moneyline pricing still favors New York at home.

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Matchup Breakdown

New York’s offense remains reliable, but defensive consistency is the question. The Knicks have allowed at least 125 points in four straight games and struggle to close possessions. When their ball pressure drops, opponents find rhythm late.

Atlanta’s challenge is sustaining effort. The Hawks allow over 120 points per game and rank among the league’s poorest defensive units. When Johnson and Porzingis are available, their size improves rebounding and half-court defense. Without Trae Young, Atlanta plays slower and relies more on structure.

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Injuries and Conditions

New York Knicks

  • Jalen Brunson, ankle, probable
  • OG Anunoby, ankle, probable

See full New York Knicks injury report.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Trae Young, quad, out
  • Kristaps Porzingis, illness recovery, probable

See full Atlanta Hawks injury report.

This game is indoors. No weather impact.

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Best Bets and Prediction

New York’s late-game collapse should sharpen focus, but defensive leaks remain. Atlanta is still vulnerable without Young, yet its size and effort give it a chance to stay within range if the pace slows.

Projected Score: Knicks 123, Hawks 114
Best Bet: Hawks +7.5
Secondary Lean: Under 240

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