Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2025

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Portland Trail Blazers at Paycom Center in Sunday NBA action. Oklahoma City enters at 16-1 riding an eight-game win streak, while Portland sits at 7-9 but recently snapped a four-game skid with a win at Golden State. Bettors will weigh the Thunder’s dominance against the Blazers’ resilience as the only team to beat OKC this season.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Thunder Spread: -15.5 (-111)
  • Blazers Spread: +15.5 (-110)
  • Thunder MoneyLine: -1800
  • Blazers MoneyLine: +900
  • Total: 234.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Oklahoma City opened as heavy home favorites, reflecting their elite form and Portland’s inconsistency. See full NBA odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Portland Trail Blazers Outlook

Caleb Love scored a career-high 26 points in the win over Golden State, while Deni Avdija added 26. Portland ranks fifth in points per game (121.1) and third in possessions per game, showing their fast-paced style. Injuries remain a concern, with Jrue Holiday sidelined, but the Blazers’ ability to push tempo and hit threes keeps them competitive. They are the only team to beat Oklahoma City this season, giving them confidence heading into this rematch.

Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points in the win over Utah, while the Thunder shot 61.4% from the field. OKC ranks fourth in scoring (122.6 points per game) and leads the league in free throw percentage (85.5%). Defensively, they allow just 106.3 points per game, the best mark in the NBA, and hold opponents to 42.6% shooting. With Chet Holmgren and Luguentz Dort healthy, the Thunder’s balance on both ends makes them formidable at home.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The Blazers must rely on Love’s scoring and Avdija’s versatility to keep pace, while limiting turnovers against OKC’s defense. The Thunder need to continue their efficient shooting and defensive dominance in the paint. Second-chance points and rebounding will be decisive in this Western Conference clash.

Injuries / Availability

Oklahoma City lists Jalen Williams (out, season) but otherwise is healthy. For full player status, check the Thunder injury report.

Portland lists Jrue Holiday (calf) out, with Ryan Kalkbrenner (ankle) and Pat Connaughton (calf) also sidelined. See the Blazers injury page for latest updates.

Environment

The game tips at Paycom Center, where Oklahoma City is 9-0 at home. Portland has lost eight straight in OKC dating back to 2021. Expect a high-energy crowd backing the Thunder’s revenge bid against the only team to beat them this season.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Thunder 125, Blazers 110

  • Best Bet: Thunder -15.5 (-111)
    Oklahoma City’s efficiency and defensive edge make them strong favorites to cover.
  • Total: Over 234.5 (-110)
    Our model projects 235 points, leaning slightly over given both teams’ offensive pace.

Oklahoma City’s balance and home dominance should secure the win, while Portland’s pace keeps scoring high. Expect a decisive Thunder victory trending over the total.

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