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Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Predictions February 19, 2026

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The Atlanta Hawks head into the Xfinity Mobile Arena this Thursday at 7:00 PM for a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers. Both teams are looking to shake off recent rough patches; Atlanta (26-30) is coming off a frustrating three-point loss to Charlotte, while Philadelphia (30-24) is trying to steady the ship amidst a brutal injury and suspension cycle. Despite the 76ers’ superior record, they are currently listed as slim 1.5-point favorites in what oddsmakers expect to be a high-scoring affair.

Philadelphia’s depth is being tested to the limit as they are confirmed to be without both Joel Embiid and Paul George for this contest. The 76ers have struggled significantly without their MVP center, losing six of their last seven games in which he has been sidelined. For Atlanta, this game represents a chance to debut a revamped roster that looks significantly different following a busy trade deadline.

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Odds

With the 76ers missing their top two stars, the line has tightened considerably. Keep an eye on the latest NBA odds as tipoff approaches, as any further updates to the Hawks’ new-look rotation could flip this game to a pick’em.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Atlanta Hawks+101+1.5 (-110)O 236 (-110)
Philadelphia 76ers-122-1.5 (-113)U 236 (-110)
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Atlanta Hawks Betting Form

Under head coach Quin Snyder, the Hawks have leaned into a high-octane offensive identity. They rank 9th in the league in scoring (117.3 PPG) and 3rd in field goal attempts, thanks to a breakneck pace. Jalen Johnson has blossomed into a primary playmaker, nearly recording a triple-double in his last outing with 19 points, 13 rebounds, and 9 assists. You can track their offensive efficiency and splits on the Atlanta Hawks stats and results page.

The major storyline in Atlanta is the post-deadline arrival of Buddy Hield and Jonathan Kuminga. While the Hawks are eager to integrate Kuminga’s athleticism and Hield’s elite spacing (Atlanta ranks 6th in 3PT%), Kuminga is currently listed as OUT for Thursday with a knee bone bruise. Fans should monitor the Atlanta Hawks injury report to see if Buddy Hield or other newcomers like Gabe Vincent are cleared to suit up.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Form

Coach Nick Nurse is in “mad scientist” mode as he navigates a depleted roster. Joel Embiid is OUT with right shin soreness, and Paul George is currently serving a 25-game league suspension. This has thrust Tyrese Maxey into a massive usage role; the young guard responded with a 32-point effort in their last game, though the team was still routed by 49 points. For a look at how the 76ers are managing their rotation, check the Philadelphia 76ers schedule and stats page.

The 76ers still possess a dangerous backcourt with Maxey and Rising Stars MVP VJ Edgecombe, but their frontcourt is thin. Dominick Barlow has been elevated to a standard contract to provide some interior presence, but Philadelphia’s primary advantage on Thursday may come at the charity stripe. They rank 3rd in free throws made per game, a metric that could keep them in the contest if they can slow the game down. The Philadelphia 76ers injury report will be crucial to watch, specifically for the status of Kelly Oubre Jr., who is expected to be available.

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Matchup Breakdown

This game is a battle of contrasts. Atlanta wants to run and launch from deep, while Philadelphia—shorn of their stars—will likely try to turn this into a half-court grind focused on Maxey’s penetration and drawing fouls. The Hawks’ defense allows 118.6 points per game, which is one of the more generous marks in the league, giving a shorthanded Philly squad a realistic path to a high-scoring night.

The key matchup will be Dyson Daniels vs. Tyrese Maxey. Daniels has been a revelation for Atlanta, recently scoring 21 points on high efficiency. If he can use his length to bother Maxey, Philadelphia’s offense could stagnate. Conversely, if Maxey can consistently get to the rim and the free-throw line, he can neutralize Atlanta’s fast-break opportunities.

  • Atlanta ranks 9th in PPG (117.3) and 6th in 3PT%.
  • Philadelphia ranks 3rd in Free Throws Made per game.
  • The 76ers have lost 6 of their last 7 games without Joel Embiid.
  • Jalen Johnson is averaging a near-triple-double over his last few starts.

For more insights on how injuries to stars like Embiid affect the betting lines, visit our NBA betting guide.

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Predictions and Best Bets

Despite the 76ers being the home team, it is hard to bet against the health and offensive momentum of the Hawks. Atlanta has the scoring depth—even without Kuminga—to overwhelm a Philadelphia defense that just gave up 138 points to the Knicks. Jalen Johnson’s ability to initiate the offense should create open looks for Dyson Daniels and the newly acquired Buddy Hield.

I am taking the Hawks to win outright as short road underdogs. Additionally, the over on 236 is a strong play. Atlanta’s defense is historically porous, and Nick Nurse will likely encourage Maxey and Edgecombe to play fast to keep up. My model projects a score in the neighborhood of 121-118 in favor of the Hawks.

Best Bet: Hawks +1.5 (-110) or MoneyLine (+101).

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NBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Navigating injury-heavy slates requires expert precision. You can find today’s NBA picks from professionals who have been tracking the impact of Embiid’s absence on the 76ers’ ATS record.

Check out our top sports handicappers to find specialists in Eastern Conference totals. We provide a transparent handicapper leaderboard so you can tail the hottest experts. If you want the most confident plays for tonight, you can buy expert picks and get detailed analysis delivered right to your dashboard.

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