Philadelphia-76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions December 20th 2025

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Game Preview: Dallas Mavericks @ Philadelphia 76ers

The Dallas Mavericks continue a late-2025 surge Saturday night when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center. Dallas has steadied itself after a turbulent year, winning six of its last eight games behind the rapid emergence of rookie Cooper Flagg. Philadelphia, meanwhile, has also found traction, taking five of its last seven and coming off an impressive road win in New York. The Dallas Mavericks and Philadelphia 76ers meet in a matchup that pits two ascending young stars against experienced depth and physicality. Early odds slightly favor the home side, though market movement has reflected growing respect for Dallas’ recent form. Bettors can track updates across the full NBA scores and odds board.

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Odds and Key Information

Opening lines installed Philadelphia as a small home favorite, generally between -2 and -3, with the total set in the low-to-mid 220s. Early action has been balanced, as bettors weigh Dallas’ momentum against Philadelphia’s home-court edge and rest advantage. The moneyline reflects a near coin-flip, especially with Joel Embiid’s availability uncertain on the second night of a back-to-back.

One strong analytical observation is how both teams have thrived without relying exclusively on their traditional stars. Dallas has leaned into Flagg’s shot creation and Anthony Davis’ interior presence, while Philadelphia has maintained offensive flow even when Embiid sits, thanks to guard play and rebounding depth.

From a situational perspective, Dallas arrives confident after beating the Eastern Conference-leading Pistons, while Philadelphia looks to carry over defensive intensity from snapping the Knicks’ seven-game win streak. Those dynamics suggest a competitive, playoff-style game.

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Dallas Mavericks Outlook

Dallas’ resurgence has been fueled by the rapid maturation of Cooper Flagg, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft. After a slow start to his rookie campaign, Flagg has exploded offensively, averaging 25.4 points over his last eight games and scoring a career-high 42 earlier this week against Utah. In Thursday’s win over Detroit, he added 23 points and 10 rebounds, showcasing both scoring versatility and physical growth.

Flagg’s impact goes beyond scoring. Opponents are assigning their best defenders to him nightly, yet he continues to generate efficient looks while competing defensively. That two-way effort has raised Dallas’ ceiling significantly, particularly in late-game situations.

Anthony Davis’ return from a calf contusion further stabilizes the Mavericks. Davis posted 15 points and 14 rebounds against Detroit, providing rim protection and secondary scoring that allows Flagg and the perimeter players to operate more freely. Naji Marshall has also emerged as a steady contributor, giving Dallas balance across the lineup.

The concern for Dallas is consistency on the road. While wins over Denver, Houston, and Detroit show the Mavericks can compete with elite teams, maintaining defensive discipline against a deep Philadelphia roster is critical. Bettors should monitor any late updates on the Mavericks injury report before tip.

Philadelphia 76ers Outlook

Philadelphia enters Saturday playing some of its most connected basketball of the season. Friday’s 116-107 win over the Knicks came without Joel Embiid, who sat due to illness and knee management, yet the Sixers still controlled key stretches through effort and depth.

Tyrese Maxey returned from illness and immediately reasserted himself, scoring 30 points with nine assists while dictating tempo. Rookie VJ Edgecombe was the difference-maker late, scoring 18 of his 23 points in the second half and delivering a strong defensive performance against Jalen Brunson. His energy and versatility have been a major boost throughout the season.

Andre Drummond added interior muscle with 14 points and 13 rebounds, while Jared McCain chipped in off the bench. Even though Philadelphia was outrebounded overall, timely defensive stops and transition scoring offset that disadvantage.

The biggest variable remains Embiid’s status. When available, Philadelphia’s offensive efficiency and defensive ceiling rise dramatically. Even without him, the Sixers have shown they can win with ball movement, guard penetration, and collective defense. Bettors should check the 76ers injury report for final confirmation.

Key Matchup Table

Key FactorAdvantage
Primary scoring surgeDallas
Interior reboundingPhiladelphia
Rookie impactDallas
Guard playmakingPhiladelphia
Recent momentumEven

Betting Trends

Dallas has been competitive against the spread during its recent surge, particularly in games lined within one or two possessions. Totals involving the Mavericks have leaned over when Flagg’s scoring accelerates tempo.

Philadelphia has covered more consistently at home and has shown resilience ATS when Embiid sits, as the market often undervalues its depth. Recent Sixers games have hovered near totals due to balanced scoring rather than extreme pace.

Bettors comparing this matchup to others on the slate can find broader context on the NBA previews page.

The Lean

This matchup profiles as a tight, high-quality game. Dallas has the star power of a rapidly ascending Cooper Flagg, while Philadelphia counters with depth, physicality, and strong guard play. On the road, the Mavericks face a challenge containing Maxey’s penetration and Edgecombe’s energy, especially if Embiid is even limitedly available.

Philadelphia’s ability to win without Embiid adds confidence in backing the home side in a close spread range. On the total, both teams are playing with confidence offensively, but defensive adjustments and half-court execution could cap scoring late.

Projected Final Score: 76ers 118, Mavericks 114
Best Spread Pick: 76ers -2.5
Total Lean: Over

Why You Need Expert Picks

High-profile games featuring breakout rookies often drive public betting narratives that inflate one side. ScoresAndStats focuses on matchup fundamentals, rotation depth, and efficiency trends to identify value beyond hype.

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