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Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, November 7, 2025, in their NBA Cup opener. The Thunder enter at 8-1 after blowing a 22-point lead in a loss to Portland, while the Kings are coming off a short-handed 121-116 win over Golden State. This is the second meeting between the teams this season — OKC won the first with a 17-4 closing run led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Line Movement and Odds
Oklahoma City is favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 227.5. The Thunder are 4-2 ATS when favored by 8.5 or more, while Sacramento has covered just once in five games as an underdog. The Kings are 2-2 at home; OKC is 3-1 on the road. Full odds breakdown available on ScoresAndStats NBA Picks.
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Matchup Breakdown
Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP-level campaign, averaging 30+ points and contributing across the board. He had 31 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 blocks in the first meeting with Sacramento. Russell Westbrook added a triple-double against Golden State (23 pts, 16 reb, 10 ast), raising his season rebound average to 7.1. OKC ranks top-10 in pace and has hit the over in 75% of games. Coach Mark Daigneault praised the team’s ability to learn from adversity after the Portland loss, saying, “We’ll be a better team tomorrow when we wake up.”
Sacramento Kings Outlook
The Kings stunned Golden State despite missing Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and Keegan Murray. Westbrook led the way with his 204th career triple-double and passed Jason Kidd on the all-time rebounds list. Sacramento’s defense remains shaky, allowing 116+ points in five of eight games, but their resilience and rebounding guard play give them a fighting chance. If Sabonis returns, the Kings can better match OKC’s physicality inside.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The battle between Gilgeous-Alexander and Westbrook headlines the night, but rebounding and tempo will decide the outcome. OKC’s guards crash the boards and push pace relentlessly. Sacramento must limit second-chance points and get efficient scoring from role players. If the Kings can slow the game and hit timely threes, they have a path to cover and potentially steal a win.
Injuries / Availability
Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and Keegan Murray are all listed as questionable. Oklahoma City has no major injuries reported and will have its full rotation available.
Environment
Game is at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. The Kings are 2-2 at home and coming off a morale-boosting win. OKC enters with a rest disadvantage after playing Wednesday night in Portland, where they blew a 22-point lead.
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Best Bets and Prediction
- Sacramento +8.5
- Over 227.5
The Kings are short-handed but playing with confidence. OKC’s pace and scoring efficiency lean toward the over. Sacramento’s home edge and Westbrook’s form make them a live dog to cover, especially if Sabonis suits up.
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