San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions November 12th 2025

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The San Antonio Spurs host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night at Frost Bank Center in the first of back-to-back meetings. San Antonio has won three straight and remains unbeaten at home (5-0), while Golden State is looking to rebound from a blowout loss in Oklahoma City. With Victor Wembanyama rewriting record books and Stephen Curry easing back into form, this matchup offers plenty of intrigue.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Spurs Spread: -5.5 (-111)
  • Warriors Spread: +5.5 (-112)
  • Spurs MoneyLine: -197
  • Warriors MoneyLine: +166
  • Total: 227.5

San Antonio opened as a 5.5-point favorite, with the total set at 227.5. The line reflects the Spurs’ home dominance and Golden State’s recent struggles. See full NBA picks for updated odds and movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Golden State Warriors Outlook

Golden State is 6-6 and coming off a 126-102 loss to the Thunder. Stephen Curry returned from illness but scored just 11 points, while the team committed 21 turnovers. The Warriors rank 4th in three-pointers made per game (15.4) and 11th in points allowed (114.7). Rookie Will Richard continues to impress, averaging 10.0 PPG on 58.6% shooting. If the Warriors can clean up their ball security and get Curry back in rhythm, they can challenge San Antonio’s defense.

San Antonio Spurs Outlook

San Antonio is 8-2 and riding a three-game win streak. Victor Wembanyama posted 38 points, 12 rebounds, and five threes in a historic performance against Chicago. The Spurs rank 5th in FG% (49.8%) and 4th in eFG% (57.1%), and they’ve outscored opponents by double digits in the fourth quarter during their streak. Stephon Castle and De’Aaron Fox provide backcourt balance, while the team’s depth continues to shine at home.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Golden State must limit Wembanyama’s touches and force the Spurs into contested jumpers. If Curry and Kuminga can generate early offense and the Warriors control the tempo, they can keep it close. San Antonio will look to exploit mismatches inside and push pace in transition. If Wembanyama dominates the paint and Castle controls the perimeter, the Spurs can extend their home streak.

Injuries / Availability

Golden State expects Al Horford (toe) to return, while Draymond Green is likely to sit for rest. For full player designations, visit the Warriors injury report.

San Antonio has no major injuries reported ahead of tipoff. You can track any late changes on the Spurs injury page.

Environment

The game tips off at Frost Bank Center, where the Spurs are 5-0 this season. Golden State is 3-4 on the road and playing the second night of a back-to-back. Expect a high-energy crowd and a fast-paced game with playoff-level intensity.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Spurs 116, Warriors 112

  • Best Bet: Warriors +5.5
    Golden State’s shooting and veteran savvy give them a shot to keep it within the number.
  • Total: Over 227.5
    Both teams rank top 10 in shooting efficiency — expect scoring runs on both ends.

Wembanyama’s dominance and San Antonio’s home form make them tough to beat, but Golden State’s perimeter firepower and Curry’s return suggest a close contest. The spread leans toward value on the visitors.

Handicappers and Service Plays

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