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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs host the Houston Rockets on Friday, November 7, 2025, at Frost Bank Center in a high-stakes NBA Cup matchup between Lone Star State rivals. Both teams enter with 5-2 records, but their trajectories differ: Houston rides a five-game win streak and leads the league in scoring, while San Antonio looks to rebound after two narrow road losses. This is the first of four tournament games for each team in West Group C, which also includes Portland, Denver, and Golden State.
Line Movement and Odds
Houston is favored by 3 points on the road. The total is set at 225.5. The Rockets are -147 on the moneyline, while the Spurs are +123. San Antonio is undefeated at home this season, while Houston has covered in four of its last five games. Full odds breakdown available on ScoresAndStats NBA Odds.
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Matchup Breakdown
Houston Rockets Outlook
The Rockets are rolling. Amen Thompson posted a season-high 28 points and 10 rebounds in the win over Memphis, while Alperen Sengun added 20 points and 16 boards. Houston’s jumbo lineup continues to dominate, even without Steven Adams (hip). The Rockets lead the NBA in scoring (124.7 ppg), rebounding (50.0 rpg), and three-point percentage (42.7%). Their field goal percentage sits at 49.3%, and they allow just 111.7 points per game — fifth-best in the league. Coach Ime Udoka praised Kevin Durant’s off-ball impact, noting that his presence draws multiple defenders and opens lanes for Thompson and Sengun. Houston’s depth was on display with six players scoring in double figures against Memphis, including Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, and Reed Sheppard.
San Antonio Spurs Outlook
After a franchise-best 5-0 start, the Spurs have dropped two straight, including a 118-116 heartbreaker to the Lakers. Victor Wembanyama led with 19 points and 8 rebounds before fouling out late. Stephon Castle and Jeremy Sochan each added 16 points, while Devin Vassell and Harrison Barnes chipped in with 15 and 14, respectively. San Antonio ranks 5th in field goal percentage (49.7%) and 4th in two-point percentage (58.7%). Defensively, they allow just 109.6 points per game — second-best in the league — and excel at limiting opponent shot volume and efficiency. Rookie Sochan returned from injury and made an immediate impact, while Castle continues to grow as a playmaker. Wembanyama acknowledged the team’s need to adjust to faster defensive pressure and emphasized their commitment to catching up.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Houston’s offensive firepower vs. San Antonio’s defensive discipline will define this game. Wembanyama must stay out of foul trouble and anchor the paint against Sengun and Thompson. Castle’s ability to control tempo and Sochan’s versatility will be key in slowing Houston’s transition game. For the Rockets, Durant’s gravity and Thompson’s slashing create matchup headaches. If Houston continues to dominate the glass and shoot efficiently from deep, they’ll be tough to beat. San Antonio must capitalize on home-court energy and force Houston into contested mid-range looks.
Injuries / Availability
Houston remains without Steven Adams (hip). San Antonio has Jeremy Sochan back from injury, and all other key players are expected to be available. No new injuries reported.
Environment
Game is at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, where the Spurs are undefeated this season. Houston enters on a five-game win streak and has won each of its last five games by an average of 19.2 points. This is the first of four meetings between the teams this season and the opening NBA Cup game for both.
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Best Bets and Prediction
- Houston Rockets -3.0
- Over 225.5
Houston’s scoring depth and rebounding edge give them the advantage. Our model projects a 118-112 Rockets win, suggesting they’ll cover the spread. With both teams shooting efficiently and Houston pushing pace, the over 225.5 is a strong lean. San Antonio’s defense may slow the tempo early, but Houston’s offensive ceiling is too high to ignore.
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