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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Yale Bulldogs Picks and Predictions – December 29, 2025
Alabama closes out its non-conference schedule on Monday night in Tuscaloosa as the Crimson Tide host Ivy League contender Yale. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET at Coleman Coliseum. Alabama is 10–2 on the season and ranks No. 10 in the AP Poll, while Yale brings an 8–4 record and a methodical, defense-first approach.
Oddsmakers have installed Alabama as a strong 17.5-point favorite, with the total sitting at 158.5. The Tide leads the country in scoring, averaging nearly 94 PPG, but the Bulldogs have proven capable of slowing pace and hanging around with higher-profile opponents. This game presents a contrast in tempo — and a question of whether Yale can keep up.
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Yale Bulldogs Odds
Here are the current betting lines. Be sure to track the latest college basketball odds for any late movement.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | -2400 | -17.5 (-110) | U 158.5 (-110) |
| Yale Bulldogs | +950 | +17.5 (-110) | O 158.5 (-110) |
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Form
Alabama plays fast — really fast. They lead the nation in scoring at 93.9 PPG and rank top three in adjusted tempo. Mark Sears has become one of the most dangerous guards in the country, and this team simply overwhelms opponents in transition. Whether it’s forcing turnovers, cleaning the glass, or spacing the floor with shooters, Alabama creates offense in waves.
Their defense has been less consistent, especially against patient teams, but they’re improving. At home, they’ve covered four straight spreads and have gone Over the total in five of six. When the offense is clicking, they’re one of the hardest teams in the country to keep under 90.
Check their latest Alabama stats and results, and always confirm player status on the Alabama injury report before placing your bets.
Yale Bulldogs Betting Form
Yale is built to frustrate teams like Alabama. They play slow, run structured sets, and rarely take bad shots. Offensively, they average 76 PPG but often hover lower when forced into a halfcourt grind. Defensively, they’re top 50 in adjusted efficiency and do a solid job defending the three-point line.
What they don’t have is elite athleticism or transition speed. If Alabama speeds this game up early, Yale may not have enough firepower to keep up. But they’ve covered multiple double-digit spreads this season and have shown they can handle road crowds. Their best shot is keeping the game in the 60s or 70s — a tough ask against Alabama’s pace.
Explore more on the Yale schedule and stats, and review the Yale injury report before tip.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Yale Bulldogs Matchup Breakdown
This game comes down to tempo. Alabama wants 75+ possessions. Yale wants closer to 65. If the Crimson Tide impose pace, they’ll pull away. If Yale slows it and hits their outside shots, a backdoor cover is possible.
Key matchup angles:
- Alabama ranks #7 in offensive efficiency, top 5 in tempo.
- Yale ranks top 50 in defensive efficiency but bottom 100 in tempo.
- Alabama’s depth and bench scoring (+18 PPG margin) is a major edge late.
- Yale covers 66% of spreads as a road underdog in the last two seasons.
Yale may keep it respectable for a half, but Alabama tends to wear teams down with runs. If the Bulldogs aren’t shooting above 50%, the gap will eventually widen — and fast.
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Yale Bulldogs Predictions and Best Bets
Yale can hang around early — and they might. But Alabama’s pace and depth eventually break most teams. The spread is high, but the Crimson Tide are 5–1 ATS at home this season, and this spot favors their strengths. If they shoot well from deep, it could get ugly late.
The total is sharp. Alabama pushes games Over by themselves at times, but Yale’s pace could counteract that. Still, if this becomes a 15+ point game mid-second half, late free throws and tempo may drive it up.
Slightest lean to the Over, but the stronger play is the side.
Best Bet: Alabama -17.5 (-110).
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