Albany Great Danes vs Cornell Big Red Picks and Predictions December 21st

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Match Facts

Cornell heads to the Broadview Center in Albany, New York on Sunday, December 21, 2025 (3:00 PM ET) for a non-conference matchup with Albany on ESPN+. This game sets up as a style squeeze: Cornell wants a fast, high-volume perimeter game where the Big Red can turn possessions into threes, free throws, and early-clock looks, while Albany’s best chance is to keep the game from becoming a pure track meet and force Cornell to defend longer possessions without giving up clean catch-and-shoots.

Even with Cornell traveling, the Big Red’s profile is consistent: elite scoring output and high-end shot quality, especially when their ball movement is creating multiple paint touches before the kick-out. Albany’s angle is more situational than stylistic: they’re at home, they’ve shown they can defend well enough to stay connected, and they have a lead guard in Amir Lindsey who can keep them competitive if Cornell’s shot-making comes back to earth.

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Matchup detailInfo
GameCornell Big Red vs Albany Great Danes
DateSunday, December 21, 2025
Time3:00 PM ET
VenueBroadview Center (Albany, NY)
BroadcastESPN+

Line and Odds

  • Spread: Cornell -6.5 (-110), Albany +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Cornell -285, Albany +230
  • Total: 166.5 (-110)
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This price is built around Cornell’s offense being the best unit on the floor and Albany needing an above-average shooting night to match possessions. The key detail is that Cornell doesn’t need to be perfect to score—when they’re flowing, they generate enough threes and free throws to keep the scoreboard moving even through cold stretches. Albany’s path against the number is keeping Cornell off the line, limiting second-chance looks, and making Cornell finish more plays at the rim instead of living behind the arc. For live updates across the full board, the clearest reference is the college basketball odds page.

Movement Matchup

The market has tightened around Cornell. The opener sat at Cornell -5.5 before moving to -6.5, and the total has come down into the mid-160s (166.5) from a higher opening range. That combination usually signals bettors leaning toward Cornell’s edge while also respecting that road games can introduce longer half-court stretches and slightly lower efficiency than Cornell posts at home.

The practical takeaway is that Albany can still cover without “winning the game”—they just need to prevent the Cornell avalanche. Cornell covers when the game becomes possession-heavy, the threes come in volume, and Albany is forced to trade quick shots instead of finding stable half-court offense.

Breakdown Injury Reports

Cornell

PlayerStatusNotes
No injuries reportedNo injuries currently listed

Albany

PlayerStatusNotes
Will RichardsonOutNot playing (availability issue, not injury)

Cornell Recent performance

Cornell’s recent results still support the same handicap: they can lose games and still put up numbers that smash totals. The Big Red just played Samford to a 93-90 finish, and that type of scoreline isn’t an outlier with Cornell—it’s what happens when they’re getting shots up early, sharing the ball, and turning defensive rebounds into quick offense. Cooper Noard’s ability to score efficiently while staying aggressive late in possessions is the kind of edge that matters against a mid-major defense that can’t afford to lose shooters in rotation.

The other piece is how Cornell creates separation. It’s not only three-point volume; it’s the chain reaction. When defenses extend to the arc, Cornell finds driving lanes, draws fouls, and forces help that opens up the next kick-out. Albany doesn’t need to “stop” Cornell—no one really does—but they do need to disrupt the first action enough that Cornell is taking tougher threes instead of rhythm looks.

Albany Recent performance

Albany’s most realistic path is playing a composed home game where they don’t give Cornell extra possessions. The Great Danes have enough scoring punch to stay in touch if Amir Lindsey is controlling tempo and getting the right players involved early, because Albany doesn’t need to win a shootout—they need to avoid the stretches where Cornell hits three threes in a minute and a half and flips the game from a one-possession battle into an uphill sprint.

Albany also benefits from being able to score without living on threes. If they can produce points through ball screens, rim pressure, and free throws, they can keep the margin manageable even when Cornell is hitting outside shots. The defensive key is limiting clean looks in transition and avoiding the “two mistakes on one possession” problem: late closeouts that turn into fouls or offensive rebounds.

This matchup points to pace and shot volume. Cornell’s games tend to inflate totals because they play fast and they shoot threes in bunches, but the more important factor is that Cornell’s offense can score in layers: threes, free throws, and quick secondary actions after rebounds. Albany’s defense doesn’t have to be bad for the total to climb—Cornell can get there on their own, and Albany just has to contribute enough to keep the game from slowing into long, empty possessions.

On the side, Cornell -6.5 is mostly a question of whether Albany can prevent runs. If Albany gives Cornell live-ball turnovers or poor transition defense, the spread can disappear quickly. If Albany takes care of the ball, forces Cornell to defend longer possessions, and converts at the line, they can stay inside the number even if Cornell controls the game.

If you’re tracking how this game fits into the broader slate context, the college basketball picks hub and the team reference page for NCAAB teams are the cleanest ways to keep the matchup aligned with the rest of Sunday’s board.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Best bet: Over 166.5

This is the best bet because Cornell’s scoring profile is built to create volume: early offense, heavy three-point rate, and free throws when defenses overextend to the arc. Even if Albany isn’t “efficient,” they can still contribute enough through rim pressure and home-court shot-making to push the total over, especially if the game stays competitive into the final four minutes and extends possessions with intentional fouls.

Prediction: Cornell 89, Albany 82

Handicapper section

The clean way to handicap Cornell games is resisting the temptation to overthink “defense” and focusing on possession count and shot type. If Cornell is getting early threes and trips to the line, the total is live regardless of opponent. If Albany is protecting the ball and getting to the rim, they can keep the game in a scoring environment rather than letting Cornell control both pace and shot quality.

If you’re looking at this game through a bigger-picture lens—how offenses like Cornell translate across the season and how markets adjust—keeping one eye on the futures ecosystem like college basketball championship odds is useful for understanding when high-tempo teams start getting priced differently once conference play tightens rotations.

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