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The #13 Texas Tech Red Raiders look to continue their ascent in the Big 12 standings as they head to Tempe for a late-night showdown with the Arizona State Sun Devils. Tip-off is set for 11:00 PM ET at the Desert Financial Arena with national coverage on ESPN2. Texas Tech arrives with a 19-6 record and significant momentum after knocking off top-ranked Arizona in an overtime thriller last weekend. Arizona State sits at 13-12 and aims to protect their home court after a recent victory over Oklahoma State.
This matchup is a classic case of a high-flying offense meeting a gritty home underdog. Texas Tech is currently an 8.5 point favorite on the road with the total hovering at 153.5 points. For the Red Raiders, this game is about avoiding a let-down after an emotional win, while the Sun Devils are fighting to stay above .500 and improve their 4-8 conference mark. Tempe can be a difficult place to play, but the talent gap between these two rosters is evident in the current moneyline pricing of -421 for the visitors.
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Texas Tech vs Arizona State Odds
Bettors should keep an eye on the market as tip-off approaches because Big 12 lines often fluctuate based on late injury news. You can find the most accurate information on the latest college basketball odds page to ensure you are getting the best price.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Texas Tech | -421 | -8.5 (-110) | O 153.5 (-110) |
| Arizona State | +311 | +8.5 (-112) | U 153.5 (-110) |
Texas Tech Betting Form
Texas Tech is arguably the hottest team in the Big 12 right now. Their offensive efficiency has been the primary driver, as they average 82.0 points per game while shooting nearly 39% from beyond the arc. JT Toppin has evolved into a legitimate national player of the year candidate, recently putting up a monstrous 31 points and 13 rebounds against Arizona. His ability to dominate the paint while Christian Anderson provides elite spacing from the perimeter makes the Red Raiders incredibly difficult to guard in half-court sets.
The Red Raiders have also been reliable for bettors when favored, holding a 16-3 record in that spot this season. They lead the Big 12 in made triples per game and rarely beat themselves with turnovers. While their defense can occasionally be porous, their ability to outscore opponents from the perimeter usually covers the spread. You can track their full season arc on the Texas Tech stats and results page. Depth is a slight concern with LaTrell Hoover sidelined, so monitor the Texas Tech injury report for any further changes to the rotation.
Arizona State Betting Form
Arizona State has survived a rollercoaster season characterized by a thin rotation and flashes of high-level scoring. They are 11-6 at home, where they tend to play with much more energy and defensive focus than they do on the road. Moe Odum is the engine of the offense, averaging 17.0 points and 6.0 assists. The Sun Devils rely heavily on getting to the free-throw line, where they rank 43rd nationally in makes per game. If they can get Texas Tech’s big men into foul trouble early, they might keep this game closer than the spread suggests.
The challenge for Bobby Hurley’s squad has been consistency on the glass and defensive depth. Injuries have plagued the roster, leaving them with an eight-man rotation for most of February. Santiago Trouet and Massamba Diop will need to be nearly perfect to stop Toppin in the post. Arizona State has covered in four of their last five games, suggesting they are playing better than their overall record indicates. Check the Arizona State schedule and stats for their ATS performance as home underdogs. Availability is the biggest question mark here, so stay updated with the Arizona State injury report before placing any bets.
Texas Tech vs Arizona State Matchup Breakdown
The battle for the glass will likely decide the covering team in this contest. Texas Tech is a top-five rebounding team in the Big 12, led by Toppin’s relentless pursuit of offensive boards. Arizona State has struggled with defensive rebounding all year, often giving up second-chance points that kill their momentum. If the Red Raiders can dominate the glass, it limits Arizona State’s ability to get out in transition where they are most effective.
Tempo will also be a major factor. Both teams prefer a faster pace, with Texas Tech’s 3-point volume and ASU’s free-throw creation leading to high-scoring affairs. Texas Tech averages 11.5 made threes per game, a number that could balloon against a Sun Devils defense that often prioritizes paint protection over perimeter closeouts. I think the Red Raiders have enough shooters to exploit the gaps in Hurley’s defensive scheme.
Bettors looking for an edge might consider a college basketball betting guide to see how road favorites in the Big 12 perform during late-season trips. Historically, the travel from the central time zone to Arizona can be taxing, but Texas Tech’s experience and senior leadership in the backcourt should mitigate any fatigue from the Arizona win.
Texas Tech vs Arizona State Predictions and Best Bets
Texas Tech at -8.5 feels like a fair price for a team that just beat the number one team in the country. Arizona State is scrappy at home, but their lack of depth is a glaring issue against a Texas Tech bench that can rotate multiple shooters. The Sun Devils simply don’t have a defensive answer for JT Toppin, and if they double-team him, Christian Anderson will punish them from deep. I expect Texas Tech to win this by double digits, perhaps around 82-70.
Regarding the total of 153.5, I lean toward the Over. Both teams possess high-scoring ceilings and the Sun Devils’ propensity for drawing fouls will keep the clock stopped and the points accumulating. Texas Tech’s efficiency is too high to ignore, and ASU should be able to do enough at home to help push this over the number. Perhaps the pace slows down in the final five minutes, but the volume of threes and free throws should be enough.
Best Bet: Texas Tech -8.5 (-110) and Over 153.5 (-110).
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