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Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Chattanooga Mocs at Bellarmine Knights |
| Sport | Men’s College Basketball (non-conference) |
| Date | Wednesday, December 17, 2025 |
| Tip time | 7:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Knights Hall (Louisville, KY) |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ |
| Records | Chattanooga 5-6; Bellarmine 4-6 |
For roster context and team pages, use NCAAB teams.
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Line and Odds
- Spread: Chattanooga -1.5 / Bellarmine +1.5
- Moneyline: Chattanooga -133 / Bellarmine +112
- Total: 149.5
This is a tight market that’s basically saying “pick the team you trust late.” Chattanooga is slightly favored because of its scoring profile and three-point volume, while Bellarmine’s case is built on elite shooting efficiency, free-throw reliability, and a real home-floor edge. With such a short spread, a one-possession game is the most likely finish, so each team’s ability to avoid empty trips in the final six minutes matters more than raw season averages. Track the latest on college basketball scores and odds.
Movement Matchup
Chattanooga’s advantage is spacing and volume from three. If the Mocs are getting clean catch-and-shoot looks and forcing Bellarmine to defend the full width of the floor, they can win the math battle even if Bellarmine shoots well inside. The risk is that heavy three-point reliance can also create volatility: a cold stretch doesn’t just reduce scoring, it can also trigger runouts and quick points the other way if long rebounds turn into transition.
Bellarmine’s edge is efficiency and execution. The Knights don’t need to bomb threes to score; they can win with high-percentage twos and by living at the line late. That’s a big deal in a -1.5 / +1.5 game because it gives Bellarmine a stable way to score when defenses tighten. If the Knights keep the game in the half court, defend without fouling, and turn the final minutes into a free-throw contest, they’re very live.
Breakdown Injury Reports
Chattanooga
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | — |
Bellarmine
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | — |
Chattanooga Recent performance
Chattanooga comes in off a loss to Auburn, but the scoring output still matters because it reinforces what the Mocs do well: they can put points on the board even against high-level opponents. Jordan Frison and Teddy Washington Jr. gave them efficient production, and that’s the type of scoring base that plays in a tight spread game where you can’t afford long droughts.
The key question is whether Chattanooga can translate its three-point volume into clean looks on the road. If the Mocs are settling for contested shots early in the clock, their biggest weapon becomes less valuable. If they’re patient, move the ball, and force rotations, they have the spacing to control scoring runs and put pressure on Bellarmine to match threes with twos.
Bellarmine Recent performance
Bellarmine’s loss to Northern Kentucky was close, and the more important takeaway is that the Knights have a profile that wins close games when execution is sharp: elite field goal percentage, elite two-point percentage, and strong free-throw shooting. That combination is tailor-made for a game expected to be decided late.
Jack Karasinski’s scoring and Kenyon Goodin’s all-around contributions give Bellarmine stability. If the Knights keep their turnovers manageable and rebound well enough to avoid giving Chattanooga extra three-point attempts, they can stay in control of the “possession quality” battle even if the Mocs make a few threes.
Betting Insights and Trends
The spread is short because both teams have a clear path to win. Chattanooga can win by turning the game into a spacing contest and winning from three. Bellarmine can win by controlling the half court, generating efficient twos, and converting at the line.
The total at 149.5 is the tricky number. Both teams can score, but the pace notes you provided point to fewer possessions than most people assume when they see these point-per-game averages. If the game is played in the half court and the Knights successfully limit transition, the scoring can land below the posted number even if shooting efficiency is solid.
For general bet-type guidance and pacing principles, use the basketball betting guide.
Bet With Confidence, Not Guesswork
Data + Discipline = Results
Best bet and Prediction
Best bet: Chattanooga -1.5.
This is the best bet because Chattanooga’s three-point volume gives them the most direct way to create separation in a game with a tight spread. Bellarmine is efficient, but it’s harder to build margin through twos unless the opponent is turning it over or fouling repeatedly. If Chattanooga gets a normal shooting night from deep and avoids live-ball turnovers, they’re positioned to win a one-possession game.
Prediction: Chattanooga 80, Bellarmine 78.
For slate context and additional market options, use college basketball picks.
Handicapper section
Keep the card consistent with your script. If you like Chattanooga, you’re betting the threes travel and the Mocs get enough clean attempts to win the math late. If you like Bellarmine, you’re betting on half-court control and free-throw execution in the final minutes, which pairs better with +points or live angles if the game stays tight.
For longer-run framing on how these types of non-conference games can shape résumés and market perception, use college basketball championship odds.
