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Colorado vs Montana State Week 1 Betting Preview
Colorado begins its 2025-26 campaign at home against Montana State on Monday night in Boulder. The Buffaloes are looking to rebound from a 14-21 finish and a 13-game losing streak that marred their first year in the Big 12.
Junior center Bangot Dak returns after averaging 8.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game. Coach Tad Boyle called Dak and Sebastian Rancik “critical” returners as Colorado tries to recapture the form that led to a 26-11 record and NCAA second-round run two seasons ago.
Boyle also added seven true freshmen, saying their effort and response in practice will determine early rotation minutes. Colorado was picked to finish 15th in the Big 12 preseason poll, a number Boyle’s squad will aim to outperform in front of the home crowd.
Montana State, picked mid-pack in the Big Sky preseason polls, finished 15-18 last season after three straight NCAA Tournament appearances. Forward Patrick McMahon (9.9 points, 3.4 rebounds) leads a balanced lineup, while freshman James Steward is expected to contribute immediately in the frontcourt.
For more early college hoops matchups, visit the NCAA basketball previews page
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Line Movement and Odds
Colorado opened around -12.5 and has settled near -13.5 across major boards. The total sits around 145, showing modest movement since open. Early action favors the Buffaloes, though sharper bettors appear to have grabbed the opener before the line ticked up.
You can track every update on the college basketball odds board to see where the spread and moneyline settle before tip-off.
Matchup Breakdown
Colorado Outlook:
The Buffaloes return interior size but need improved consistency at both ends. Dak gives them a rim-protecting presence, while Rancik’s spacing adds versatility. The challenge lies in blending seven new players into the rotation while keeping turnovers under control.
Montana State Outlook:
The Bobcats were streaky a year ago, especially on the road. McMahon brings scoring punch, and the defense should stay aggressive under coach Matt Logie. However, rebounding and interior defense could decide this matchup against a taller Buffaloes front line.
For more analysis and insights, check the free NCAA basketball picks section and see which side top handicappers are backing.
Injuries and Conditions
Colorado Buffaloes
- Sebastian Rancik: practicing fully after a late-season ankle issue, expected to start.
- No other significant injuries reported entering opening night.
Montana State Bobcats
- No major absences reported.
Stay informed with each team’s official page: Colorado Buffaloes team report and Montana State Bobcats team report
The game will be played indoors at the CU Events Center, so weather won’t be a factor.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Colorado’s frontcourt advantage and improved depth make it the stronger side. Montana State should compete early, but the Buffs’ pace and defense likely take over.
Projected Score: Colorado 78, Montana State 65
Best Bet: Colorado -13.5
Secondary Lean: Under 145
Before finalizing your wager, check updated numbers on the college basketball odds page and review advice from the Bettors Handbook
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
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Colorado looks ready to reassert its home dominance. Stay smart with your bankroll and watch how the Buffaloes’ new rotation performs early in the season.
