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Flyers vs Hawks Picks and Predictions – Saturday January 24, 2026
Dayton heads to Philadelphia for a key Atlantic 10 road test against Saint Joseph’s on Saturday, January 24, with tip set for 2:00 PM ET at Hagan Arena. Early afternoon conference games tend to get decided by execution and toughness more than highlight offense, and this one sets up as a classic “favorite on the road vs live home dog” spot.
The Flyers come in 14-5 overall and have been good enough to earn respect from the market, but they’re just 3-3 away from home. Saint Joseph’s is 11-8 and has protected its floor at a 9-2 clip, which matters when you’re catching points in a league where half-court possessions are king.
The number is shading toward Dayton with the Flyers laying mid-single digits and the total sitting in the high 130s. The way these teams score is different, but the bet comes down to whether Dayton can control the glass and tempo without letting Saint Joseph’s get comfortable at home.
Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Odds
These are the current betting lines, but college hoops pricing can move quickly around travel spots and late lineup news, so keep an eye on the latest college basketball odds leading into tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | -221 | -5.5 (-112) | 138.5 |
| Saint Joseph’s Hawks | +175 | +5.5 (-109) | 138.5 |
Dayton Flyers Betting Form
Dayton is coming off a 67-64 loss to La Salle, a game where the Flyers didn’t separate and ended up living possession to possession late. Keonte Jones popping for a double-double was encouraging, but the bigger takeaway is that Dayton’s floor is still tied to shot quality and finishing plays, not just raw talent.
The Flyers’ betting profile is built on stability. They tend to generate points without relying on low-percentage threes, and they do their best work when they’re getting to the line and converting free points. That matters in a road favorite role because it reduces variance, and it’s one reason Dayton has cashed a lot of straight-up tickets when priced as the better team.
If you want a clean snapshot of how they’ve been performing game to game, start with Dayton stats and results. The road record is the one thing holding them back from being priced like a true top-tier A-10 team, so the handicap is whether they can bring their execution with them into Hagan Arena.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks Betting Form
Saint Joseph’s is also off a loss, falling 79-72 to VCU, but the offensive ceiling showed up with Derek Simpson putting up 27. When the Hawks are right, they can score in bunches, and at home they’re comfortable pushing tempo enough to create runouts and early-clock looks without totally losing structure.
The home split is the headline. A 9-2 mark at Hagan Arena is not a fluke in this league. The Hawks rebound well for this level and tend to manufacture extra possessions, which is exactly how underdogs hang around against more efficient favorites. If Saint Joseph’s turns this into a volume game, the +5.5 becomes very real.
For the broader trends and recent scoring outputs, you can track it through Saint Joseph’s schedule and stats. The market is daring Saint Joe’s to score efficiently against a disciplined opponent, but the home environment and rebounding give them a path to make this ugly and close.
Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Matchup Breakdown
This is a pace and possession control game. Dayton wants clean half-court reps, fewer live-ball mistakes, and a steady diet of trips to the stripe when the defense breaks. Saint Joseph’s is more comfortable turning it into a possession count battle, especially at home where role players tend to shoot with more confidence.
Shot profile is where you can see the total. If Dayton gets what it wants, you’ll see longer possessions, fewer transition chances, and more late-clock attempts. If Saint Joe’s wins the early tempo, the game can climb toward the mid-140s, but that usually requires cleaner shooting than both teams have shown in spots this year. Either way, the fouling piece late matters because both teams can convert at the line, which is why you should price in some end-game variance when betting a total.
The rebounding edge is the underdog lever. Saint Joseph’s has been strong on the glass, and that can erase efficiency gaps if they’re getting second chances and keeping Dayton from running. On the other side, Dayton’s ability to avoid careless turnovers is critical because giveaways at Hagan Arena turn into quick points and momentum swings.
If you’re newer to handicapping these conference spots, it’s worth brushing up on how tempo, foul rates, and end-game situations impact spreads and totals in the expert betting guide. This matchup is basically a case study in why “better team” does not always mean “easy cover” on the road.
Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Dayton on the side. The Flyers are the more reliable team across 40 minutes, and their ability to create points at the line gives them a cushion when shots aren’t falling. Saint Joseph’s can absolutely make a run, but asking them to do it for the full game against a steady favorite is a different bet than backing them in a short burst.
Spread-wise, Dayton -5.5 is playable if you believe the Flyers can control the possession battle and force Saint Joe’s into more half-court offense. That’s where Saint Joseph’s can stall, and it’s also where Dayton’s consistency shows up most. The road piece is the only reason this isn’t a stronger stance, but the number still implies a game Dayton should win comfortably more often than not.
On the total, I lean under 138.5. The simplest angle is that Dayton’s preferred game script drags pace down, and conference games at this time of day often start tight with both teams feeling each other out. Even if Saint Joseph’s scores, Dayton is rarely in a hurry to trade possessions unless it has to.
Best Bet: Dayton -5.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building a full Saturday card, start with today’s college basketball picks to compare sides and totals across the board and see where the strongest consensus is lining up.
For volume-driven bettors, it also helps to track who’s actually winning long term. Browse the best handicappers and cross-check current form on the handicapper leaderboard before you tail anything blindly.
And if you want to go deeper than one game, the NCAAB previews hub and the full college basketball teams page make it easier to compare matchups quickly. For broader strategy and market context, the main ScoresAndStats blog is useful, and if you’re still deciding where to bet, the sportsbook reviews and handicappers sites reviews can help you line up the best options. When you’re ready to lock in more aggressive positions, you can also buy premium picks before the market moves.
