Iowa State Cyclones vs Stonehill Skyhawks Picks and Predictions November 17th 2025

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Game Preview Iowa State Cyclones @ Stonehill Skyhawks

No. 16 Iowa State returns home carrying early-season momentum and an undefeated 3-0 record as it prepares to host Stonehill on Monday. The Cyclones have displayed their trademark defensive pressure, elite pace, and rapidly improving depth through both veterans and newcomers. Their opponent, Stonehill, enters at 1-4 and faces its third road game in four days, a challenge for a program still adjusting to the full demands of Division I competition. Bettors typically begin with roster and performance metrics by reviewing the Iowa State Cyclones team page and the Stonehill Skyhawks listing to assess matchup dynamics.

Iowa State’s most recent outing, a 96-80 victory over Mississippi State, demonstrated both its offensive and defensive ceilings. Senior guard Tamin Lipsey delivered a complete performance with 25 points and six assists, including 14 points in the second half. The Cyclones forced 26 turnovers, scoring 29 points off those takeaways, reinforcing their defensive identity under coach T.J. Otzelberger. Complementing Lipsey’s effort were Joshua Jefferson’s 18 points and seven rebounds, along with Blake Buchanan’s balanced production.

Freshman guard Jamarion Batemon continues to emerge as a key contributor. The Top-100 recruit logged 14 minutes against Mississippi State, adding six points and three rebounds. Otzelberger praised Batemon’s discipline, toughness, and daily work habits, noting his long-term potential within Iowa State’s system. The Cyclones’ combination of veteran structure and freshman development gives them both stability and upside.

Stonehill arrives with limited rest and travel fatigue, having played Saturday and logging its third game in four days. The Skyhawks fell 74-63 to Loyola Maryland despite strong efforts from Hermann Koffi and Raymond Espinal-Guzman. Stonehill’s offensive efficiency and rebounding remain strengths, but defensive consistency and turnover avoidance have been challenges. Coach Chris Kraus continues to build the program as Stonehill transitions deeper into the Division I landscape.

These contrasting trajectories highlight strategic differences commonly discussed in foundational betting resources such as the sports betting for beginners guide and analytical market frameworks within the how betting odds work overview.

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Odds and Key Information

Iowa State enters as one of the nation’s heaviest favorites on Monday, with a spread of -38.5 at most books. Their strong start, elite defensive metrics, and home-court dominance all justify the elevated number. Bettors comparing spread and totals movement often begin with the broader market on the NCAAB odds and scores board.

Stonehill’s odds reflect a difficult matchup: a high-pressure defensive opponent, a large rebounding gap, and short rest. Iowa State’s aggressive ball pressure poses particular challenges for a Skyhawks team averaging more than 14 turnovers per game.

Totals projections consider Iowa State’s scoring average of 95.3 points, their 52.7 percent field goal rate, and Stonehill’s 71-point scoring baseline. These pace-related assessments align with principles in the alternate total points guide and deeper strategic considerations found in the sports betting strategies resource.

Iowa State Cyclones Outlook

Iowa State’s early season has showcased both depth and maturity. Tamin Lipsey continues to lead the Cyclones with 17.7 points and 5.7 assists per game, pairing elite defensive instincts with high-level playmaking. His three steals and six assists against Mississippi State highlighted his two-way value.

Joshua Jefferson has steadied the frontcourt with 17.3 points and 7.3 rebounds per outing. His interior scoring and rebounding presence balance the guard-heavy attack. Blake Buchanan complements with physical defense, timely scoring, and consistent rebounding.

The Cyclones’ most defining trait remains their defense. Forcing 26 turnovers against Mississippi State reinforces their identity as an elite pressure team capable of dictating tempo. Their ability to convert turnovers into scoring opportunities aligns with efficiency principles often analyzed in the prop betting guide and broader market concepts within the moneyline explanation.

Freshman Jamarion Batemon’s breakout increases their rotational flexibility. His presence ensures the Cyclones can maintain pace, defensive intensity, and shot creation across multiple units.

Injury Report

Iowa State reports no major injuries..

Stonehill Skyhawks Outlook

Stonehill continues to grow into a competitive Division I program, making steady strides in its second year of tournament eligibility. Sophomore guard Hermann Koffi leads the Skyhawks with 18.4 points per game and anchors their perimeter scoring. His efficiency and shot creation will be tested significantly against Iowa State’s perimeter defenders.

Forward Raymond Espinal-Guzman is pivotal on the interior, averaging 10.6 points and a team-high 9.4 rebounds. His defensive rebounding, paired with a 90 percent free-throw rate, provides stability in half-court sets. Stonehill’s ability to rebound—averaging 41.8 boards per game—ranks well nationally and provides a path to slowing down Iowa State’s transition attack.

Coach Kraus aims to build on last year’s step forward, where Stonehill earned its place in the NEC tournament. Leadership continuity and improved perimeter spacing remain key areas of growth. Their shooting profile, including 8.2 made threes per game, gives them an avenue to stay competitive.

However, turnover risk and inconsistent defense remain barriers, especially in a high-pressure environment. These vulnerabilities align with structural analysis frameworks in the futures betting guide and decision-making insights explored in the 1×2 betting breakdown.

Injury Report

Stonehill reports no major injuries.

Key Matchup Table

Matchup FactorProjected Edge
Turnover CreationIowa State
Transition ScoringIowa State
Perimeter ShootingIowa State
ReboundingIowa State
Half-Court OffenseIowa State

Betting Trends

Iowa State is 3-0 against the spread this season, reflecting both strong efficiency and consistent defensive control. Their turnover pressure generates rapid scoring runs, often creating margin separation earlier than market expectations. These patterns correspond with strategic insight found in the spread meaning guide.

Stonehill trends toward unders when shot creation falters against higher athleticism. Their rebounding strength supports pace limitation, but turnover challenges often lead to opponent scoring bursts. These tendencies reflect market volatility discussed in the live betting guide and deeper pacing observations found in the sports betting strategies overview.

The matchup presents a significant step up in class for the Skyhawks, particularly defensively.

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The Lean

Iowa State’s structural advantages—pressure defense, experienced guard play, and efficient scoring—position them strongly in this matchup. Their ability to dictate tempo and generate turnovers should create consistent separation throughout the contest. The Cyclones’ offensive balance and defensive intensity make them one of the nation’s toughest early-season opponents for any mid-major.

Stonehill’s best opportunity lies in leveraging rebounding and perimeter shooting, but maintaining offensive rhythm against Iowa State appears unlikely. Travel demands and short rest further magnify the difficulty of the matchup.

The lean heavily favors Iowa State.

Why You Need Expert Picks

Games with extreme spreads and pace volatility benefit from expert evaluation, especially when determining actionable value across totals, derivatives, and alternate lines. Professional insights are accessible through the Handicappers Leaderboard on the NCAAB picks page.

Educational tools such as the sports betting strategies guide and the foundational sports betting for beginners resource support bettors in identifying structural value in high-spread matchups.

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Projected Score, Spread Pick, and Total Lean

Projected Score: Iowa State 101, Stonehill 62
Spread Pick: Iowa State -38.5
Total Lean: Over 147.5