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Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Austin Peay Governors vs Kansas City Roos |
| Date | Sunday, December 21, 2025 |
| Venue | Swinney Recreation Center |
| Location | Kansas City, Missouri |
| Game type | Non-conference (Atlantic Sun vs Summit) |
| Records | Austin Peay: 5-5 |
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Stats That Turn Insight Into Profit
For matchup context and more slate options, check the college basketball picks page and the updated NCAAB odds and lines.
Line and Odds
| Market | Austin Peay | Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-106) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -350 | +265 |
| Total | 144.5 (-110) | 144.5 (-110) |
Movement Matchup
The market is pricing Austin Peay as the clear better side, but not in blowout territory. At -7.5, the key question is whether Kansas City can keep this in single digits with pace, or whether Austin Peay’s cleaner offense forces separation late.
If you’re betting the number, the main thresholds are 7 and 8. Anything above -8 starts to demand a more comfortable margin profile. On the total, 144.5 is essentially asking for a clean tempo game plus decent conversion, so you want to be disciplined if the number climbs.
For broader strategy angles on sides and totals, the betting guide is a useful baseline for how to approach price sensitivity and key numbers.
Breakdown Injury Reports
Austin Peay
| Player | Position | Status | Impact note |
|---|---|---|---|
| None | N/A | No major injuries reported | No expected rotation limitation |
Kansas City
| Player | Position | Status | Impact note |
|---|---|---|---|
| None | N/A | No major injuries reported | No expected rotation limitation |
Austin Peay Recent performance
Austin Peay is coming off a tight 76-75 home win over East Tennessee State, with Zyree Collins driving the offense (25 points, 9 assists) and Rashaud Marshall controlling the glass (17 points, 11 rebounds). The profile is straightforward: this is a team that can score, and it has enough shooting to punish defenses that overhelp.
The road record has been the soft spot, but the recent close win matters because it reinforces late-game execution. If Collins is consistently creating paint touches and kick-outs, the Governors can hit enough threes to keep Kansas City from loading up.
If you want quick context on how both programs stack up across the slate, the NCAAB teams hub is the fastest reference point.
Kansas City Recent performance
Kansas City is 2-11 and coming off a 91-79 loss at Oklahoma State, but the scoring output shows they can play offense when the pace is there. Karmello Branch (18) and Jayson Petty (16) carried most of the perimeter load, and the Roos have been most competitive when they’re getting up-and-down and generating volume.
At home, they’ve had their better moments, including a 102-75 win over Spurgeon College where Jerome Palm posted 21 points and 13 boards. The issue is consistency: when Kansas City’s shooting dips, they don’t have a reliable defensive base to keep the game close.
Betting Insights and Trends
Kansas City plays with tempo (69.3 possessions per game, top-100 nationally), which can inflate totals and widen variance on spreads. That helps an underdog stay live, but it also increases the risk of a run that breaks the number quickly if the favorite is converting efficiently.
Austin Peay’s offensive baseline is meaningfully higher (76.3 points per game), and they have enough perimeter output to stretch a defense that’s already been vulnerable this season. If Kansas City can’t win the defensive glass or force empty trips, this becomes a late separation game.
If you’re also tracking the wider market (futures, awards), college basketball championship odds and Wooden Award odds provide quick context on where money is flowing nationally.
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Best Bets and Prediction
The side is the cleaner play than the total.
Austin Peay is priced as the better team for a reason: higher scoring output, more reliable creators, and a Kansas City profile that needs pace and shooting to keep up. The model projection aligns with Austin Peay controlling the game.
Best bet: Austin Peay -7.5 (-106)
Projected score: Austin Peay 78, Kansas City 68
The projection lands around 146, so there isn’t a big edge at 144.5. If you like the under angle, it’s more attractive at 145.5+ and becomes less appealing if the market drops.
Handicapper section
For more plays across the board, go to college basketball picks and compare prices on the NCAAB odds and lines.
