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Kansas City Roos vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks Picks and Predictions February 19th 2026

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Kansas City Roos vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks Game Preview

Kansas City heads to Grand Forks on Thursday night for a Summit Conference matchup with North Dakota at the Betty Engelstad Sioux Center. This sets up as a classic “bad road team vs solid home side” profile. The Roos have struggled all season and have been especially unreliable away from home, while North Dakota has been closer to its baseline in this building and is priced as a double-digit favorite accordingly.

From a betting angle, the question is whether North Dakota can create a clean margin. Kansas City’s floor is low, but big spreads can still get tricky if the favorite goes cold for a stretch, turns it over, or allows too many second chances. Kansas City’s cover path is not about winning the game outright. It’s about surviving the first 10 minutes, avoiding the blowout script, and hanging around long enough for the number to matter late. Fans can watch this one on Summ TV.

Kansas City Roos vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Kansas City Roos+456+11.5 (-117)O 149.5 (-112)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks-715-11.5 (-108)U 149.5 (-112)

Kansas City Roos Betting Form

Kansas City is 4-22 overall, and the away profile is the biggest reason the market is comfortable hanging +11.5. The Roos are 1-13 on the road, and that usually shows up in the same two places every time, poor offensive efficiency and long stretches where the opponent strings stops into runs. They just lost 104-64 to St. Thomas, and when a game gets away from them early, they have not consistently shown the scoring stability to stop the bleeding.

The argument for Kansas City covering is more situational than statistical. They have shown at least one competitive conference result in a nine-point loss to Oral Roberts, and that matters because it shows they can sometimes keep shape against better Summit teams if the game stays controlled. Karmello Branch is their leading scorer at 12.7 points per game and is a plus free-throw shooter, which helps in a spread context if the Roos can reach the bonus and trade points at the line. Jerome Palm’s rebounding (6.4 RPG) also matters in a big number, because if Kansas City can avoid getting crushed on the glass, it can keep North Dakota from stacking easy second-chance points that inflate margins quickly. For a quick check of results and splits, use the Kansas City Roos team page. Availability matters, so monitor the Kansas City injury report before tip.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Betting Form

North Dakota is 15-14 overall and has been closer to its true level at home, sitting 8-8 in this building. They’re coming off an 83-66 loss to North Dakota State, but the offensive pieces still show through. Greyson Uelmen (15.2 PPG) is the centerpiece, and when he’s scoring efficiently, North Dakota’s offense has enough balance to punish teams that can’t defend without fouling.

For bettors, the main question with North Dakota is not whether it can win. It’s whether it can win by margin without letting Kansas City hang around with free throws, long rebounds, and low-variance possessions. North Dakota’s scoring average is 77.1 points per game, which is enough to justify laying points against a team that has been consistently weak on the road. The Hawks also have the kind of home rhythm that helps favorites cover, better shot selection, fewer empty trips, and more consistent defensive effort. If they get a normal night from Uelmen and avoid the sloppy turnover stretches that keep underdogs alive, the game can tilt toward a comfortable margin. Track recent form on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks team page, and check the North Dakota injury report before you lock anything in.

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Kansas City Roos vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is mostly about game script. Kansas City wants a slower, more controlled game where it can limit possessions, rebound well enough to avoid giving up immediate putbacks, and score enough at the line to stay within a manageable range. If the Roos can get to halftime down single digits, +11.5 becomes live, because the second half often turns into a trading game rather than a runaway, especially if the favorite is comfortable protecting a lead.

North Dakota’s cover path is straightforward. They need to win the possession battle and generate cleaner shots than Kansas City can. If the Hawks build an early lead, they can force Kansas City to speed up, and that is where the Roos’ mistakes tend to compound. The total at 149.5 is also tied to tempo. Kansas City’s offensive floor and North Dakota’s ability to control pace at home point toward a lower-scoring script than the number implies. The biggest risk to an under is a blowout that turns into fast possessions and bench minutes, or a foul-heavy finish if Kansas City is chasing late.

Kansas City Roos vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Kansas City +11.5. The Roos have been poor on the road, so this is not a comfort pick, but the spread is large enough that you can cash without Kansas City playing well for the full 40 minutes. If they compete on the glass, get to the line, and avoid the early avalanche, they can stay within the number even if North Dakota controls the game. The risk is obvious, Kansas City has shown it can fall apart when it gets behind early, and that is how favorites cover double digits without much resistance.

On the total, I lean under 149.5. The model total you provided sits closer to 140, and Kansas City’s scoring struggles create a path where North Dakota wins comfortably without the game needing to reach the mid 150s. If you get a normal North Dakota offensive night and Kansas City stays inefficient, the under is live unless the ending turns into extended fouling.

Best Bet: Kansas City +11.5 (-117).

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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

When you’re betting a big spread in a conference game, the key is deciding what you’re wagering on. If you’re laying points with a favorite like North Dakota, you’re betting on margin creation, not simply the win. That means you want a script where the favorite can extend leads through rebounding, turnovers, and free throws, not one where it trades buckets and bleeds clock. Start by scanning the NCAAB picks page to see how the board is being attacked, then compare your number to the live screen on the college basketball odds board. If this line creeps from -11.5 toward -12.5, that matters, because you’re paying for extra margin that Kansas City can steal with a late backdoor.

If you want more matchup context before locking a side or total, use the NCAAB previews hub to cross-check recent form and identify how each team typically wins possessions. Totals bettors should focus on possession count and finishing efficiency, while spread bettors should focus on who can build runs and who can survive droughts. Finally, track long-run performance on the handicappers leaderboard to see which cappers have been consistent across volume. Over the season, the best process is simple, price discipline first, then script, then the bet.

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