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Game Preview: Kansas State Wildcats vs California Golden Bears
The Kansas State Wildcats will host the California Golden Bears on Thursday, November 13, 2025, at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. This matchup offers an early barometer for both programs as they face their toughest opposition to date.
The Kansas State Wildcats (2-0) enter with momentum after a dominant 98-71 win over Bellarmine. Kansas State has averaged nearly 96 points per game through two outings, fueled by dynamic guard play and elite three-point accuracy. Head coach Jerome Tang’s squad has shot 56 percent from deep, leading all Division I programs in early efficiency.
Point guard P.J. Haggerty has been the driving force behind the Wildcats’ offense, averaging 25 points and 5.5 assists per game. His control in transition and ability to generate open looks for teammates have transformed Kansas State into one of the country’s fastest-paced, most balanced scoring units. Tang praised Haggerty’s poise, noting that the Memphis transfer has yet to reach his full ceiling in terms of decision-making and assist ratios.
The California Golden Bears (3-0) have handled a lighter schedule so far, but coach Mark Madsen sees this road trip as an early-season measuring stick. Cal has topped 90 points in consecutive games, including a 93-65 win over Cal State Fullerton on Monday. Guard Dai Dai Ames, a Kansas State transfer, poured in 24 points and will face his former team for the first time.
Madsen’s system emphasizes pace and spacing, with forward Justin Pippen providing interior scoring balance (14 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists vs. Fullerton). The Bears’ 81.4 percent free-throw mark and 85.7 points per game reflect offensive maturity uncommon for an untested roster.
For bettors, this game represents a contrast between an elite shooting team and a disciplined half-court offense. To study tempo dynamics and variance, visit the basketball betting strategies guide.
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Odds and Key Information
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spread | Kansas State -6.5 (-109), California +6.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | Kansas State -275, California +220 |
| Total | 162.5 |
| Venue | Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS |
| Time | Thursday, 9:00 PM ET |
The Wildcats opened as 6.5-point home favorites with a total of 162.5, one of the week’s highest for non-conference games. For real-time market adjustments and line comparisons, check the college basketball odds page.
California Golden Bears Outlook
Cal has showcased offensive confidence through three games, averaging over 85 points per contest and shooting 49.3 percent from the floor. The Bears’ free-throw efficiency (81.4%) ranks among the top 25 nationally, with their emphasis on driving lanes and ball movement leading to consistent scoring opportunities.
Dai Dai Ames, now thriving as the team’s primary ball handler, has blended scoring with improved shot selection, while Pippen continues to be the stabilizing force on the boards. The Bears are untested against Power Six opposition, but their balance and chemistry have been clear strengths in Madsen’s rotation.
Defensively, California faces its first major challenge against Kansas State’s perimeter attack. The Bears will need to slow pace and contest the three-point line to remain competitive late. Their ability to draw fouls and maintain offensive composure on the road will be vital.
For understanding efficiency-based spreads and public perception shifts, review the spread meaning guide.
Kansas State Wildcats Outlook
Kansas State’s identity under Jerome Tang remains rooted in pace and offensive execution. The Wildcats average 95.5 points per game and rank near the top 10 nationally in true shooting percentage. P.J. Haggerty leads the way with 25 points per game on 56 percent shooting and 11 assists in his last outing, while Cam Carter and Arthur Kaluma have provided secondary scoring with 14.5 points each.
The Wildcats have converted 56 percent from three, with spacing built around multiple shooters who can create off the dribble. At home, Kansas State’s transition efficiency has overwhelmed opponents — outscoring them by an average of 30 points through two games.
Defensively, the Wildcats remain a work in progress. Their focus will be limiting penetration and avoiding unnecessary fouls against a Cal team that thrives on free-throw volume. Kansas State’s rebounding edge and bench scoring, however, should sustain momentum late.
For additional insight into total wagering and alternate outcomes, consult the alternate total points guide.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Advantage |
|---|---|
| Offensive Efficiency | Kansas State |
| Three-Point Shooting | Kansas State |
| Free-Throw Rate | California |
| Rebounding | Even |
| Depth | Kansas State |
| Turnover Margin | California |
| Pace | Kansas State |
| Defensive Versatility | Even |
Kansas State’s superior perimeter talent and home-court advantage create matchup pressure, while California’s ability to slow tempo and generate free throws could help narrow the margin. Expect a dynamic contrast of styles through the first half.
Betting Trends
- Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games.
- The Wildcats are 10-2 straight up in their last 12 non-conference contests.
- California is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.
- The over is 8-3 in Kansas State’s last 11 when scoring 90 or more points.
- California is 4-1 to the over in its last five road games.
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Predictions
Both teams enter unbeaten, but Kansas State’s offensive firepower and backcourt control should prove decisive. The Wildcats’ spacing, tempo, and home environment point toward another high-scoring win, while California’s free-throw proficiency may keep it within range through the first half.
Projected Final Score: Kansas State 95, California 85
Spread Pick: Kansas State -6.5
Total Lean: Over 162.5
If you’re analyzing similar totals-driven games, see the prop betting guide and moneyline overview for line value strategies.
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Projected Final: Kansas State Wildcats 95, California Golden Bears 85
Spread Pick: Kansas State -6.5
Total Lean: Over 162.5
