Kentucky Wildcats vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Picks and Predictions December 5th 2025

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The Kentucky Wildcats face the Gonzaga Bulldogs in a marquee non-conference clash at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville. No. 18 Kentucky (5-3) looks to rebound after a loss to North Carolina, while No. 11 Gonzaga (7-1) seeks redemption following a blowout defeat to Michigan. Bettors must weigh Kentucky’s rebounding strength against Gonzaga’s offensive firepower.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Kentucky Spread: +5.5 (-111)
  • Gonzaga Spread: -5.5 (-112)
  • Kentucky MoneyLine: +187
  • Gonzaga MoneyLine: -238
  • Total: 159.5 (Over -112, Under -111)

Gonzaga opened as favorites. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Kentucky Wildcats Outlook

Kentucky fell 67-64 to North Carolina despite Otega Oweh’s 16 points. The Wildcats average 86.6 points per game and rank 13th nationally in rebounding (44.2 per game). Denzel Aberdeen (13.5 ppg), Oweh (13.4), and Collin Chandler (11.8) lead the offense. Kentucky must improve perimeter shooting after going 1-for-13 from deep vs UNC. Their rebounding and efficiency give them a chance to upset Gonzaga.

Gonzaga Bulldogs Outlook

Gonzaga was routed 101-61 by Michigan, shooting just 34% from the field. Braden Huff (15.8 ppg) and Tyon Grant-Foster each scored 14 in the loss, while Graham Ike was held to one point. The Bulldogs average 90.8 points per game and shoot 50.5% from the field. They also rank high in rebounding (44.6 per game). Gonzaga must regain rhythm and rely on Huff and Ike to bounce back.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Kentucky’s rebounding vs Gonzaga’s offensive pace. The Wildcats must dominate the boards and improve shooting, while Gonzaga needs Huff and Ike to lead scoring and control tempo.

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Injuries / Availability

Kentucky: No major injuries reported, Oweh and Aberdeen lead the offense.
Gonzaga: Full roster available, Huff and Ike expected to anchor scoring.

  • Kentucky is 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • Kentucky averages 86.6 points and 44.2 rebounds per game.
  • Gonzaga is 7-1 overall and 6-2 ATS this season.
  • Gonzaga averages 90.8 points and shoots 50.5% from the field.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Gonzaga 88, Kentucky 85

  • Kentucky +5.5 (-111) → Best Bet. Wildcats’ rebounding and scoring balance suggest they cover.
  • Under 159.5 (-111) → Total. Despite high averages, pace and defense point to a lower total.

Gonzaga’s offensive talent should secure the win, but Kentucky’s rebounding and efficiency make them strong to cover. Expect a competitive game trending under the total.

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