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Loyola Marymount vs Gonzaga Picks and Predictions – January 4
The Gonzaga Bulldogs host Loyola Marymount at McCarthey Athletic Center for a late-night West Coast Conference showdown on Sunday, January 4, at 9:00 PM ET. Gonzaga (13–2) is a massive 23.5-point home favorite as they look to continue their dominance over LMU (6–9), a team that hasn’t matched up well historically — and likely won’t here either.
It’s a lopsided spot on paper. Gonzaga’s moneyline is unplayable at -10000, and the spread is huge — but bettors still have decisions to make. Does Gonzaga stay focused and cover the number? Or is there quiet value on a backdoor from an LMU team with nothing to lose? The total opened at 154.5, suggesting some scoring pace, but blowout dynamics could skew the Over/Under angles.
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Loyola Marymount vs Gonzaga Odds
Here are the current lines for this WCC matchup. Always shop around and track moves with the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Marymount | +2500 | +23.5 (-109) | O 154.5 (-110) |
| Gonzaga | -10000 | -23.5 (-111) | U 154.5 (-110) |
Loyola Marymount Betting Form
Loyola Marymount has had a rough stretch. The Lions enter this matchup having lost 5 of their last 6, and while they’ve covered a few large numbers, the step up in class here is drastic. LMU plays a slower pace, relying on deliberate offensive sets and interior touches, but they don’t have the spacing or shotmaking to compete against elite length.
They rank near the bottom of the WCC in offensive efficiency and turn the ball over at an alarming rate. On the defensive side, they can rebound decently, but their perimeter defense has been torched by better teams. That’s concerning against a Gonzaga offense that gets into rhythm fast, especially at home.
Check the Loyola Marymount injury report to make sure they’re at full strength — any thinness in the rotation could make a big number worse.
You can review Loyola Marymount stats and results to track trends and recent form.
Gonzaga Betting Form
Gonzaga is rolling again. The Zags have won 7 straight and are back in rhythm offensively, averaging over 85 points per game during that span. Their ball movement is crisp, they score from all levels, and they play fast. At home, they’re even scarier — covering in 4 of their last 5 in Spokane, often by double digits.
Defensively, Gonzaga pressures the ball, forces bad shots, and rebounds exceptionally well. Their bench is deep enough that even in garbage time, scoring rarely slows much — which matters in covering big numbers like this.
They don’t take the foot off the gas unless forced to, and they’ve consistently hammered inferior opponents in WCC play. Still, it’s worth checking the Gonzaga injury report in case they rest any key starters, especially with a tough schedule ahead.
Get more context with the Gonzaga schedule and stats.
Loyola Marymount vs Gonzaga Matchup Breakdown
There’s no mystery here. Gonzaga will try to speed the game up, shoot early, and overwhelm LMU with tempo and talent. Loyola Marymount has to grind possessions, hit open threes, and somehow stay out of foul trouble — none of which they’ve consistently done against high-major teams.
Key angles:
- Gonzaga’s depth prevents garbage-time fade-outs
- LMU turnover issues are a nightmare vs Zags’ pressure
- Blowout risk tilts the total toward the Under if Gonzaga locks it down early
- LMU’s offensive profile isn’t built for backdoor covers
The tempo edge, shot profile, and sheer gap in scoring power all lean toward Gonzaga covering. The only hesitation is motivation — will they be fully locked in for 40 minutes?
Loyola Marymount vs Gonzaga Predictions and Best Bets
There’s no value on the Gonzaga moneyline, and 23.5 is a lot — but it’s still the right side. Gonzaga has crushed these spots before, especially in WCC openers or early home matchups. Unless they completely no-show or clear the bench with 10 minutes left, they can get past this number with margin.
On the total, I’d lean Under 154.5. Gonzaga can score in bunches, but LMU plays slow, and if this turns into a blowout, tempo can grind in the final 8–10 minutes. Fewer free throws and elongated possessions from LMU could kill the Over late.
Don’t love any LMU angle here. Even team total Over is risky if they fall apart under pressure. This is Zags or nothing.
Best Bet: Gonzaga -23.5 (-111).
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