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Marymount Lions vs State Beavers Picks and Predictions – Wednesday January 14, 2026
Loyola Marymount heads to Corvallis for a late non-conference matchup with Oregon State on Wednesday night at Gill Coliseum, with tip set for 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+. It’s an interesting number because the Lions are a slight road favorite despite a modest road resume, while the Beavers have played their best basketball at home.
The market is basically calling this a coin-flip with a lean toward LMU. Loyola Marymount is -1.5 and around -123 on the moneyline, while Oregon State is +1.5 with a near pick’em moneyline. The total sits at 140.5, which suggests a half-court game where each scoring run matters and the closing minutes decide both side and total.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs Oregon State Beavers Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should monitor the updated college basketball odds as tip approaches in case this flips sides or the total starts to climb.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Marymount | -123 | -1.5 (-109) | 140.5 |
| Oregon State | -101 | +1.5 (-114) | 140.5 |
Loyola Marymount Lions Betting Form
LMU is coming off a brutal defensive showing against Santa Clara, and that matters here because Oregon State is going to test their discipline in the half court. When LMU’s defense is leaky, they need to win with shot-making, because they are not the type of team that grinds opponents down with stops and rebounding.
The counterpoint is the Lions have enough offensive skill to travel when they get clean threes and keep turnovers under control. They can put points up quickly, and they have shown they can win close games if the ball is moving and the spacing holds. With a spread this short, you’re not betting LMU to dominate. You’re betting that their offense is the sharper unit in a tight finish.
For recent results and team splits, check Loyola Marymount stats and results.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Form
Oregon State has been more reliable at home, and Gill Coliseum is the main reason this line is tight. The Beavers have not been consistent enough to demand favorite pricing, but they play with better composure at home, and they tend to keep games in a manageable possession range where a couple of made threes can swing the result.
From a betting angle, Oregon State’s path is pretty clear. They want to make this game uncomfortable, keep it physical, and force LMU into tougher perimeter looks while protecting the ball. If the Beavers control the glass and avoid live-ball turnovers, they don’t need to be elite offensively to win a one-possession game late.
To track home results and recent game logs, use Oregon State schedule and stats.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs Oregon State Beavers Matchup Breakdown
This feels like a shot-quality and pace-control game. LMU’s best minutes come when they are getting early threes, attacking closeouts, and not letting the opponent set its defense. Oregon State is more comfortable when the game slows, possessions become longer, and each trip turns into a read instead of a sprint.
The key swing stats are turnovers and defensive rebounds. If LMU is careless with the ball, Oregon State gets easy points that can flip a short spread quickly. If Oregon State gives LMU second chances or leaves shooters on kick-outs, the Lions can turn a slow game into a quick 10-point burst without warning.
I also care about the end-game math here. With a spread near a pick’em, you’re often looking at a one-score finish. That means free throws and late-game shot selection matter more than raw points per game. If you want a consistent framework for evaluating sides and totals in these low-margin games, the expert betting guide is a useful reference point.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs Oregon State Beavers Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is Oregon State +1.5. I’m not thrilled betting against a capable LMU offense, but I do prefer the home side in a near pick’em when one team has been meaningfully better in its own building. Oregon State does not need to be great. They just need to keep LMU from getting clean threes in volume and avoid giving away possessions.
If you want to play the moneyline instead, Oregon State at basically even money is fine, but I’d rather take the +1.5 and protect against a one-point loss in a game that projects tight for long stretches. The spread is small, but it still matters in this kind of late-game free-throw environment.
On the total, I lean under 140.5. The number is not extreme, but the matchup points to longer possessions and fewer transition chances if Oregon State dictates the shape. The under is also helped if LMU’s offense is a little more volatile on the road and Oregon State is able to keep the game in the half court.
Best Bet: Oregon State +1.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building a Wednesday night card, the college basketball picks page is the fastest way to compare sides and totals across the slate. For more matchup writeups in this format, the NCAAB previews hub keeps everything organized by day and tip time.
For broader navigation and quick research, the NCAAB teams hub helps you bounce between team pages, and the main ScoresAndStats blog is where betting-angle content and market discussions live. If you’re comparing books and shopping numbers, the sportsbook reviews section is a clean starting point, and the handicappers sites reviews page is useful if you’re evaluating services and track records.
If you prefer to tail proven performance over time, start with the best handicappers and verify results on the handicappers leaderboard. If you want premium packages for a higher-volume approach, you can access them through buy picks.
