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Game Preview NC State Wolfpack @ Ole Miss Rebels
The North Carolina State Wolfpack travel to Oxford to face the Ole Miss Rebels in an intriguing non-conference matchup. Both teams are looking to build on promising starts this season, with NC State currently at 7-2 and Ole Miss at 6-3.
NC State relies on aggressive guard play and transition scoring, while Ole Miss thrives in the half-court with a tough defensive identity. This contrast in pace sets the stage for a strategic battle between tempo and control.
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Odds and Key Information
Ole Miss opened as a slight favorite at -2.5 with a total set around 143.5. The Rebels’ strong home record gives them the edge, but NC State’s road performance has been solid. The moneyline currently offers NC State at +120 and Ole Miss at -140, highlighting the closeness of the matchup.
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NC State Outlook
The Wolfpack are excelling in up-tempo scenarios, forcing turnovers and creating open-court scoring opportunities. DJ Horne and Jayden Taylor lead a balanced offensive unit that averages 76 points per game. The defense, meanwhile, ranks among the top 50 in turnover creation.
Their weakness lies in defending interior scorers, especially when outmatched physically. This could become a concern against Ole Miss’ frontcourt. If NC State can stretch the floor and control tempo, they’ll have a good shot on the road.
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Ole Miss Outlook
The Rebels have embraced a defensive-first approach under head coach Chris Beard. They allow just 63 points per game and dominate opponents in defensive rebounding. Offensively, Jaemyn Brakefield anchors the attack while Allen Flanigan offers versatility on the wing.
Ole Miss struggles at times to generate offense consistently, relying heavily on set plays and physicality in the paint. Their ability to limit NC State’s transition game will be crucial. For guidance on betting totals in defensive games, check the breakdown of alternate total points.
Key Matchup Analysis
Tempo will dictate the outcome here. NC State wants a fast pace and quick looks, while Ole Miss prefers a slow, grinding style. The Wolfpack’s edge in turnover creation may be neutralized by the Rebels’ careful offensive execution.
Rebounding and shooting efficiency will be pivotal. Ole Miss dominates the boards, but NC State shoots the three better. This could come down to who imposes their rhythm earlier.
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Betting Trends
NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games and has seen the total go under in four of its last six. Ole Miss is 6-1 straight up in its last seven home games, with five of those going under the total as well.
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The Lean
The game presents a classic contrast in style. If NC State forces turnovers and controls pace, they could steal one on the road. Ole Miss has the edge in physicality and home-court presence but could struggle if forced to play faster than desired.
The lean here is toward NC State plus the points, with both teams likely to hit scoring droughts in a slow second half. For those new to these types of games, check out how what does 1st quarter 3-way mean can help with smaller timeframe bets.
Projected Score: NC State 70, Ole Miss 66
Spread Pick: NC State +2.5
Total Lean: Under 143.5
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