Ohio State Buckeyes vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Picks and Predictions November 11th 2025

Game Preview – Appalachian State @ Ohio State

The Ohio State Buckeyes return to Value City Arena looking to maintain their perfect start as they host the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Tuesday night in Columbus.

The Buckeyes (2-0) are coming off an emphatic 94-68 win over Purdue Fort Wayne, led by star guard Bruce Thornton’s career-high 38 points. Thornton controlled the game’s tempo and provided veteran leadership, helping Ohio State withstand a brief first-half surge by the Mastodons.

Coach Jake Diebler’s team looks sharper offensively than last season, averaging over 100 points per game through two contests while shooting 64.8% from the field. With Thornton and forward Christoph Tilly forming a strong inside-out duo, Ohio State’s offensive efficiency has been among the best in the country.

Appalachian State (2-1) arrives with early-season confidence after a 76-54 win over North Carolina Central. The Mountaineers’ defensive effort stood out, holding their opponent under 40% shooting while forcing 14 turnovers. Veteran transfer Kasen Jennings, who has NCAA Tournament experience from Kennesaw State, leads the offense and brings much-needed leadership to a roster adjusting to new roles.

This marks the first meeting between these programs since 2019, when Ohio State defeated App State 80-60.

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Line Movement and Odds

Ohio State opened as a -25.5 favorite, with Appalachian State at +25.5. The total sits at 148.5 points. Early betting action has leaned toward the Buckeyes, reflecting their high-powered offensive production and dominant home form.

For bettors seeking guidance on managing large spreads, check out how to bet on college basketball games and what does the spread mean in betting.

Ohio State Outlook

Ohio State’s early success can be attributed to improved spacing and shot selection. The Buckeyes are shooting nearly 65% from the field and 48% from beyond the arc, ranking in the top ten nationally in both categories.

Bruce Thornton’s leadership continues to define the team’s identity. His ability to recognize momentum shifts has stabilized the Buckeyes during critical stretches. Freshman forward Christoph Tilly has been equally impactful, averaging 21.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game while hitting 60% of his shots.

Diebler’s squad has also excelled defensively, holding opponents to 35% shooting while forcing over 13 turnovers per game. The balance of perimeter defense and interior rebounding gives Ohio State a foundation to dominate mid-major opponents.

Ohio State Injury Report

No significant injuries reported.

Appalachian State Outlook

Appalachian State enters with a 2-1 record and the confidence that comes with an improving roster. Coach Dustin Kerns emphasizes balanced scoring and ball movement, both of which were on display in their recent win over NC Central.

Guard Kasen Jennings has emerged as the offensive anchor, averaging 18.7 points per game while shooting efficiently from mid-range. He’s complemented by Alonzo Dodd, who provides steady backcourt defense and secondary playmaking.

The Mountaineers’ offense centers around interior efficiency — they rank among the top 75 in two-point shooting (56.2%) — but inconsistency from three-point range and free throws remains a concern. Their ability to draw fouls (28 free throw attempts per game) could help them slow the pace against Ohio State’s transition attack.

Defensively, Appalachian State has been opportunistic, averaging 8.3 steals and 5.7 blocks per game. That activity level could frustrate the Buckeyes’ guards, though sustaining it for 40 minutes against a deeper Big Ten roster will be challenging.

Appalachian State Injury Report

No major injuries reported.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game’s focal point will be how Appalachian State handles Bruce Thornton’s control of tempo. The Buckeyes thrive when Thornton orchestrates early offense, pushing pace after defensive rebounds. Appalachian State must limit second-chance opportunities and slow the game down by using the shot clock effectively.

Ohio State’s offensive spacing and three-point accuracy could quickly create separation. The Mountaineers’ zone rotations will need to be sharp to prevent open looks for Thornton, Tilly, and Roddy Gayle Jr. If App State can force Ohio State into mid-range shots and win the rebounding battle early, they can stay within the number.

For bettors analyzing tempo, refer to alternate total points betting to gauge over/under volatility.

Betting Trends

• Ohio State is 2-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) this season.
• The Buckeyes have gone over the total in both games.
• Appalachian State is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS.
• The Mountaineers are 1-1 ATS on the road.
• Ohio State has covered in seven of its last nine nonconference home games.

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Prediction

Ohio State has found its offensive rhythm early, and Appalachian State’s defense may struggle to keep pace with Thornton and Tilly’s two-man efficiency. Expect the Buckeyes to build an early double-digit lead and maintain it throughout.

Projected Score: Ohio State 90, Appalachian State 60
Best Bet: Ohio State -25.5
Total Lean: Under 148.5

For deeper insight into betting line movement and efficiency metrics, explore the college basketball expert betting guide.

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