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Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Picks and Predictions – January 4
Saint Mary’s welcomes in-state opponent Seattle to University Credit Union Pavilion for a non-conference matchup Sunday night at 8:00 PM ET. The Gaels (12–2) are double-digit home favorites as they look to stay hot and extend their dominance at home. Seattle (9–6) comes in with a decent record but hasn’t proven it against elite mid-major competition.
This game may not move the national needle, but it matters in betting markets. The Gaels opened -10 and have taken some light action to -10.5. Seattle has talent but struggles to stay consistent for 40 minutes — and that’s a problem against a Saint Mary’s team that plays physical, precise basketball for all four quarters. Total sits at 140.5 and hasn’t moved much.
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Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Odds
Below are the current betting lines. Be sure to stay on top of movement and compare sportsbooks using the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | +450 | +10.5 (-112) | O 140.5 (-110) |
| Saint Mary’s | -626 | -10.5 (-109) | U 140.5 (-110) |
Seattle Betting Form
Seattle is fast-paced, perimeter-driven, and streaky — everything Saint Mary’s typically punishes. The Redhawks shoot a lot of threes and rely on guard creation, but they struggle with turnovers and don’t get to the line often. That creates offensive droughts, especially against disciplined half-court defenses.
Defensively, they’re decent at forcing tough shots but give up too many second-chance points. Their rebounding has been a liability, and against a physical Saint Mary’s frontcourt, that’s a concern. If the Redhawks aren’t hitting from outside, it could snowball quickly.
Make sure to check the Seattle injury report for any lineup changes that could affect their already thin rotation.
You can dig deeper into Seattle stats and results for trends and betting insights.
Saint Mary’s Betting Form
Saint Mary’s does what it always does — slows the pace, locks you down defensively, and executes with precision. They rank near the bottom nationally in tempo but top-20 in defensive efficiency. At home, they’ve been dominant. The Gaels control the glass, get high-percentage looks, and rarely turn it over.
Their ability to limit threes and force teams into uncomfortable midrange shots makes them especially tough on high-variance teams like Seattle. Offensively, they’re methodical — not explosive, but extremely efficient in the half-court. That style usually leads to grind-it-out wins, but they’ve covered 3 of their last 4 by double digits.
Check the Saint Mary’s injury report to confirm there are no surprises with the rotation, but unless something changes, this is a settled, balanced group.
Visit the Saint Mary’s schedule and stats to follow trends and consistency.
Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Matchup Breakdown
This is a style clash, and that heavily favors the Gaels. Saint Mary’s doesn’t give up the tempo edge, and Seattle simply doesn’t have the physicality to impose their game here.
Key angles:
- Saint Mary’s has a major edge in rebounding and rim protection.
- Seattle relies heavily on threes — and SMC defends the arc exceptionally well.
- Saint Mary’s controls tempo, making a 10.5-point spread feel more stable than usual.
- Turnover battle favors the Gaels — especially with Seattle’s careless half-court sets.
Unless Seattle shoots the lights out — and even that might not be enough — this sets up as a slow burn that gradually tips further and further toward the home side.
Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Predictions and Best Bets
This number is big, but the matchup supports it. Saint Mary’s has the size, discipline, and defensive structure to make this really uncomfortable for Seattle. If this were neutral or on the road, it might be too much chalk — but at home, it’s justified. I’d still lay the -10.5 with confidence unless the number creeps too high.
On the total, I’d lean Under 140.5. If Saint Mary’s dictates pace — and they usually do — this could land in the low 130s. Unless Seattle’s shooting gets white-hot, it’s hard to see enough possessions or trips to the line to push it over.
Lean toward Saint Mary’s first-half as well if you find a fair number (likely -6 or better). They’ve been dominant out of the gate in home games like this.
Best Bet: Saint Mary’s -10.5 (-109).
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