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Table of Contents
Match Facts
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Albany Great Danes at Stony Brook Seawolves |
| Sport | Men’s College Basketball (non-conference) |
| Date | Wednesday, December 17, 2025 |
| Tip time | 7:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Stony Brook Arena (Stony Brook, NY) |
| Broadcast | FloC |
| Conferences | Albany (America East), Stony Brook (CAA) |
For matchup context and team pages, use NCAAB teams.
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Line and Odds
- Spread: Stony Brook -10.5 / Albany +10.5
- Moneyline: Stony Brook -615 / Albany +437
- Total: 145.5
Stony Brook is priced like the more reliable side because of its home form and a cleaner defensive baseline, while Albany’s number is tied to whether its shot-making travels. The total is sitting in a range that assumes both teams can get into the mid-70s, which is possible, but Albany’s path to points is more volatile and Stony Brook’s best games tend to come when they control pace and force opponents into tougher half-court possessions. Track the board and any late movement on college basketball scores and odds.
Movement Matchup
Albany’s best chance to keep this tight is turning the game into a shot-volume contest without gifting live-ball turnovers. The Great Danes can generate attempts, but the risk is empty possessions from rushed threes and quick pull-ups that fuel Stony Brook’s transition game at home. Albany needs cleaner early offense: paint touches first, then kick-outs, then rhythm threes. If the Great Danes fall behind early and start hunting points, the game can get away from them quickly.
Stony Brook’s advantage is that it can win multiple ways in this matchup. If Albany packs the lane, the Seawolves have enough perimeter shooting to punish it. If Albany stays home on shooters, Stony Brook can lean into interior finishing and second-chance looks. The simplest winning script for the Seawolves is controlling the first 10 minutes, building a lead, then forcing Albany to play from behind where shot selection gets looser.
Breakdown Injury Reports
Albany
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Will Richardson | Out | Not available (eligibility) |
| Team note | No additional injuries reported | — |
Stony Brook
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Team note | No injuries reported | — |
Albany Recent performance
Albany is coming off a loss at Florida Atlantic where the scoreline got away, but there were still individual performances that translate into an underdog “keep it close” case. Jaden Kempson’s scoring pop is real, and Albany has enough offensive creators to prevent a total offensive collapse if they play with patience. The problem is that when Albany’s defense can’t string stops together, their offense gets dragged into faster possessions, and that usually hurts them because it increases the number of low-quality shots they have to live with.
The other concern is that Albany’s road profile has been rough, so the early portion matters. If Albany starts with good shot selection, stays connected defensively, and avoids foul trouble, it can keep the game in a one- or two-possession range for long stretches. If not, Stony Brook’s home confidence tends to snowball into a margin game.
Stony Brook Recent performance
Stony Brook has been strong at home, and that’s the backbone of why it’s favored here. The Seawolves’ recent results show a team that can defend, rebound, and get enough scoring without relying on one player having a perfect night. Erik Pratt is the key driver, but the real separator is that Stony Brook tends to play cleaner basketball at home: fewer defensive breakdowns, better three-point shot quality, and more consistent energy on the glass.
This is also a matchup where Stony Brook’s “middle game” matters. If the Seawolves handle Albany’s first push and build separation before halftime, they can turn the second half into a controlled, possession-by-possession game that makes covering a spread more realistic. If they let Albany hang around into the final 10 minutes, the value shifts toward the underdog number.
Betting Insights and Trends
The spread is telling you Stony Brook is expected to dictate terms, but Albany’s offense is capable enough to create backdoor risk if Stony Brook eases up with a lead. Albany’s scoring output can look fine even in losses because they get attempts, but the efficiency swings hard based on whether Kempson and Amir Lindsey are getting clean looks or forced ones.
The total is a pace and shot-quality question. If Albany plays from behind most of the night, possessions can speed up and the game can drift toward the over. If Stony Brook controls tempo and forces Albany into longer half-court possessions, the under becomes more attractive. For a market framework on sides/totals and how to match a bet to the expected game script, use the basketball betting guide.
Bet With Confidence, Not Guesswork
Data + Discipline = Results
Best bet and Prediction
Best bet: Albany +10.5.
This is the best bet because Albany has enough scoring to stay attached even if Stony Brook controls the game, and the underdog script is live if the Great Danes avoid the early turnover-and-runout spiral. Stony Brook can still win comfortably, but a double-digit number is vulnerable if Albany’s primary scorers generate efficient looks and Stony Brook plays a slightly flatter game after building a lead.
Prediction: Stony Brook 78, Albany 70.
For additional market options across the slate, use college basketball picks.
Handicapper section
This is a spot where building around one script is important. If you’re backing Albany, you’re betting on competitive shot-making and enough defensive resistance to keep Stony Brook from turning it into a track meet. If you’re backing Stony Brook, you’re betting on a fast start and sustained control that removes late-game variance.
For longer-range context that can shape how you value teams in buy-game stretches and non-conference resumes, use college basketball championship odds.
