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Game Preview Baylor @ St. John’s
The undefeated Baylor Bears (4-0) aim to continue their early-season surge when they face the 14th-ranked St. John’s Red Storm (3-2) in the Players Era men’s championship semifinals on Tuesday at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. Tip-off is set for 4:30 PM ET.
Baylor is coming off a balanced 81-74 win over Creighton, where five players scored in double figures. Cameron Carr, who turned 21 on Monday, led the way with 21 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, St. John’s dropped a tightly contested game to Iowa State, 83-82, failing to convert in the final seconds.
This is a crucial non-conference opportunity for both teams, with eyes already on College Basketball Championship odds as tournament resumes begin to take shape.
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Odds and Key Information
| Game Info | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Baylor Bears vs St. John’s Red Storm |
| Date | Tuesday, November 25, 2025 |
| Time | 4:30 PM ET |
| Location | Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV | truTV |
| Spread | For updated odds, visit NCAAB odds and scores. |
| Moneyline | Baylor +164 / St. John’s -207 |
| Total (O/U) | 162.5 |
Baylor Outlook
The Baylor Bears are thriving under Scott Drew’s system, averaging 89.3 points per game on a scorching 51.1% shooting. Their effective field goal percentage of 59.0% ranks 26th nationally.
Carr’s emergence as the team’s scoring leader at 23.5 points per game has been key. The Bears’ offense is layered—Tounde Yessoufou, Dan Skillings Jr., and Michael Rataj all provide consistent secondary scoring. Baylor is 3-1 ATS this season and has hit the over in three of four games, signaling their pace and efficiency.
Defensively, the Bears have shown rebounding dominance and fast-paced transition play. They held Creighton to just 43.8% shooting while out-rebounding them 45-28.
St. John’s Outlook
Rick Pitino’s St. John’s Red Storm are scoring 98.5 points per game—ranking 8th in the country. Their offense is rapid, fueled by a nation-high 80.0 possessions per game and a 51.1% field goal rate.
Oziyah Sellers leads a balanced attack, but the Red Storm rely heavily on offensive rebounds and pace. Zuby Ejiofor and Dillon Mitchell each pulled down nine boards against Iowa State and remain essential to the paint battle.
Despite the loss to Iowa State, St. John’s has covered in four of its last five games and has shown they can force turnovers, although that wasn’t the case in their two losses to high-major teams.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Scoring Offense | St. John’s |
| Field Goal % | Baylor |
| Three-Point Shooting | Baylor |
| Rebounding | St. John’s |
| Turnover Margin | St. John’s |
Betting Trends
- Baylor is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games.
- St. John’s is 4-1 ATS in its last 5.
- The over has hit in 75% of Baylor’s games.
- St. John’s is 0-2 SU vs. Power 6 teams this season.
- Baylor has won its last 4 neutral-site games.
For daily expert trends and more insights, visit NCAAB picks.
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Prediction
This matchup pits two high-octane offenses against each other. St. John’s thrives in transition and at the rim, but Baylor’s disciplined half-court sets and shooting may expose the Red Storm’s half-court defense.
Expect Carr to remain aggressive, with Baylor utilizing their frontcourt depth to combat St. John’s rebounding. The Bears’ ability to control tempo and hit perimeter shots gives them an edge in a close contest.
Projected Score:
St. John’s 94, Baylor 91
ATS Pick: Baylor +4.5
Total Lean: Over 162.5
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For futures, check the latest John Wooden Award odds and College Basketball Championship odds.
