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Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Picks and Predictions – Saturday, February 14, 2026
Texas and Missouri meet at Mizzou Arena in Columbia on Saturday, February 14, 2026, with tip set for 8:30 PM ET. The market is basically calling this a coin-flip, and that usually means two things for bettors: every possession matters, and late-game execution can decide both the winner and the cover.
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With the spread sitting at Missouri -0.5, you’re essentially choosing a side to win the game. That makes the moneyline and spread markets closely tied, while the total at 150.5 suggests a game with steady scoring but not a full-blown track meet.
Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Odds
Here are the current lines for this matchup. For line movement and updated numbers, check the latest college basketball odds before placing your wager.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | -119 | +0.5 (-120) | O/U 150.5 (Over -113 / Under -107) |
| Missouri Tigers | -107 | -0.5 (-107) | O/U 150.5 (Over -113 / Under -107) |
Texas Longhorns Betting Form
With a near pick’em line, the Texas angle comes down to whether the Longhorns can control the “hidden” parts of the game: turnovers, defensive rebounding, and free-throw rate. In tight spreads, a couple empty trips or a short stretch of sloppy ball security is often the difference between cashing and tearing up a ticket.
Texas bettors should focus on two practical questions:
- Can Texas get efficient offense without needing a hot three-point night?
- Can Texas stay disciplined defensively to avoid sending Missouri to the line in bunches?
Before locking in a bet, make sure nothing changes with availability and rotation usage by checking the Texas Longhorns injury report and reviewing recent performance trends on the Texas Longhorns team page.
Missouri Tigers Betting Form
Missouri gets the slight nod at home, and with a spread this short, that’s meaningful. Home court matters most in games where both teams can score in bursts and momentum swings quickly—exactly the kind of script you often see in SEC play.
For Missouri to justify the favorite tag, the Tigers typically need to do at least one of the following consistently:
- Win the turnover battle (or at least avoid live-ball giveaways)
- Create extra possessions with offensive rebounds
- Pressure the rim enough to get to the free-throw line
As always, keep tabs on late availability news. Check the Missouri Tigers injury report and the Missouri Tigers team page for recent form and statistical context.
Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Matchup Breakdown
This line tells you the market expects a one-possession game deep into the second half. That makes tempo and shot selection huge.
Pace and shot quality: With a total of 150.5, the expectation is consistent scoring without the game getting completely out of control. If either side speeds the other up into quick, low-quality shots, it can swing both the spread and the total fast—because missed shots become transition opportunities, and transition chances lead to easier points (or foul trouble).
Turnovers: In pick’em-style matchups, turnovers are often the deciding stat. Not just total turnovers, but live-ball turnovers that create runouts. If one team strings together two or three live-ball mistakes in a short window, that’s how you end up with a 7–0 spurt that flips the entire betting outcome.
Late-game math: With Missouri -0.5, the final two minutes matter more than usual. End-game free throws, missed front ends, and intentional fouling can create a swing of 4–6 points quickly—so even if you like the total, understand it may be decided at the line.
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Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Predictions and Best Bets
Because the spread is essentially asking you to pick the winner, my preference is to back the side with the slight underdog value on the moneyline rather than pay extra juice for a half-point that may not matter much in a college game.
Best Bet: Missouri Tigers Moneyline (-107).
If you prefer the spread market, Missouri -0.5 (-107) is basically the same opinion expressed a different way. I’m simply taking the cleaner price at -107 on the moneyline and living with the outcome.
On the total, 150.5 is playable either way depending on how you expect pace to look, but it’s the secondary angle here. In a near coin-flip matchup, I’d rather bet the side and avoid a total that can be swung by whistles and late-game fouling.
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
For more daily edges across the board, compare matchups and markets with today’s college basketball picks and keep an eye on price movement in the college basketball odds hub.
If you’re also tracking futures and awards as the season develops, you can follow the broader markets at college basketball championship odds and John Wooden Award odds and predictions.
And for bettors looking to tighten up their long-term approach, the site’s advanced betting strategies section is a strong reference point for building a more consistent process.
