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UConn Huskies vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Betting Preview
The UConn Huskies host the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions at Gampel Pavilion in Storrs. No. 5 UConn looks to continue its strong start after wins over Illinois and Kansas, while Texas A&M-Commerce seeks an upset in this non-conference matchup. Bettors must weigh UConn’s depth and shooting efficiency against the Lions’ scoring pace and teamwork.
Line Movement and Odds
- Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Spread: +38.5 (-117)
- Connecticut Huskies Spread: -38.5 (-104)
- Total: 139.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
UConn opened as heavy favorites at home. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Outlook
The Lions defeated Army 84-67 behind Damian Garcia’s 20 points and Ronnie Harrison’s 12 points, 8 rebounds. They average 82.9 points per game and rank 52nd nationally in effective field goal percentage (56.7%). With 10.6 threes per game and 20.4 assists per contest, their ball movement and perimeter shooting are strengths. Texas A&M-Commerce must rely on Harrison and Garcia to keep pace with UConn’s offense.
UConn Huskies Outlook
UConn edged Kansas 61-56 with Braylon Mullins scoring 17 points off the bench. Mullins adds depth after missing the first six games. Solo Ball and Alex Karaban provide scoring balance, while Eric Reibe contributes inside. The Huskies average 79.8 points per game and shoot 48.6% from the field. They are 7-1 overall and 5-1 at home, showing consistency as favorites.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Texas A&M-Commerce’s perimeter shooting vs UConn’s defensive pressure. The Lions must hit threes and share the ball, while UConn needs Mullins and Ball to continue scoring efficiently. Reed’s ankle injury status could impact depth.
Injuries / Availability
Texas A&M-Commerce: No major injuries reported, with Harrison and Garcia leading the offense.
UConn: Tarris Reed (ankle) remains day-to-day after missing the Kansas game.
Betting Trends
- Texas A&M-Commerce is 4-3 overall, one win away from matching last season’s total.
- The Lions average 82.9 points and 10.6 threes per game.
- UConn is 7-1 overall and 5-1 at home.
- UConn averages 79.8 points and shoots 48.6% from the field.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: UConn 95, Texas A&M-Commerce 60
- UConn -38.5 (-104) → Best Bet. Huskies’ offensive efficiency and depth suggest they dominate.
- Over 139.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 155 points, leaning over given both teams’ scoring pace.
UConn’s depth and shooting should secure a comfortable win, while Texas A&M-Commerce’s perimeter shooting may keep them competitive early. Expect UConn to cover with the total trending over.
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