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Lynx vs Storm Picks and Predictions — August 29, 2025
The red-hot Minnesota Lynx look to stay perfect at home when they host the Seattle Storm on Thursday night in Minneapolis. This late-season WNBA clash carries major playoff implications: Minnesota is chasing the No. 1 overall seed, while Seattle clings to postseason hopes.
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Opening lines show the Lynx as -7.5 favorites, with a moneyline around -320 and the total set at 162.5. For those tracking team performance history and recent league shifts.
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Minnesota Can Win If…
Napheesa Collier’s return couldn’t have gone better. After a three-week layoff with a sprained ankle, the All-Star exploded for 32 points and 9 rebounds on 11-of-16 shooting in a 90-85 win over Indiana. Collier’s two-way presence powers a Lynx team that’s 18-1 at home.
“When we are playing our defense, I don’t think there’s anyone who can beat us,” Collier said. “It’s a good time to be a Lynx.”
Minnesota’s deep supporting cast also helps. Kayla McBride (14.9 ppg) and Courtney Williams (13.8 ppg) give the Lynx reliable secondary options. As long as they stay locked in defensively, they should control this game from start to finish.
Seattle Can Win If…
The Storm’s 95-75 loss to Indiana exposed a glaring weakness—energy. Despite a recent 4-2 stretch, Seattle lacked urgency on Tuesday, and they’ll need a full 40-minute effort to stay close against Minnesota.
“There’s no excuse for what happened other than not matching the energy of the other team,” Nneka Ogwumike said. “We have to get to a space where we can match or exceed our opponent’s energy.”
Ogwumike leads the Storm with 18.3 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, while Skylar Diggins-Smith (15.4 ppg) and Brittney Sykes (12.7 ppg) add firepower. If they want to steal a road win, the Storm need to win the battle on the boards and slow Collier’s momentum.
Key WNBA Betting Trends
| Category | Lynx | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 30-7 | 20-19 |
| Last 10 Games | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Points Per Game | 83.7 | 80.4 |
| Opponent PPG | 76.3 | 81.7 |
| Home/Away Record | 18-1 (Home) | 12-9 (Away) |
The Lean
Pick: Lynx -7.5
Projected Final Score: Lynx 85, Storm 74
Minnesota’s dominance at home—plus a locked-in Napheesa Collier—gives them a major edge. Seattle’s inconsistency, especially defensively, makes it hard to back them in this spot.
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